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Politics·French Elections

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politics·French Elections

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$23,309 거래량

2027.04.30
Polymarket

$23,309 거래량

Polymarket
icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$3,570 거래량

73%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$375 거래량

44%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$784 거래량

39%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$95 거래량

30%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,022 거래량

18%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 거래량

21%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$348 거래량

19%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$200 거래량

13%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$494 거래량

12%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$129 거래량

11%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$55 거래량

10%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$102 거래량

10%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$428 거래량

10%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,059 거래량

9%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 거래량

14%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 거래량

8%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$66 거래량

6%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$136 거래량

6%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$152 거래량

23%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$61 거래량

5%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$460 거래량

4%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$892 거래량

4%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$1,047 거래량

4%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$1,148 거래량

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$929 거래량

3%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$126 거래량

3%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$988 거래량

3%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,849 거래량

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 거래량

3%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,690 거래량

2%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$551 거래량

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$1,520 거래량

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$973 거래량

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$668 거래량

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,082 거래량

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 거래량

27%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election at around 34 percent, well ahead of fragmented rivals including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise near 16 percent and several centrist or center-right figures. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected in July 2026, determines whether she or Bardella carries the party banner into the race. A crowded field of declared candidates from the center and moderate left raises the prospect that vote splitting could send either Mélenchon or a figure such as Édouard Philippe into the runoff alongside the National Rally nominee, consistent with patterns in prior elections where the two highest first-round finishers advance under the two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
거래량
$23,309
종료일
2027.04.30
마켓 개설일
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election at around 34 percent, well ahead of fragmented rivals including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise near 16 percent and several centrist or center-right figures. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected in July 2026, determines whether she or Bardella carries the party banner into the race. A crowded field of declared candidates from the center and moderate left raises the prospect that vote splitting could send either Mélenchon or a figure such as Édouard Philippe into the runoff alongside the National Rally nominee, consistent with patterns in prior elections where the two highest first-round finishers advance under the two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
거래량
$23,309
종료일
2027.04.30
마켓 개설일
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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자주 묻는 질문

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"은 36개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 73%의 "Jordan Bardella"이며, 이어서 44%의 "Édouard Philippe"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 73¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 73%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"은 총 $23.3K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Jun 1, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 36개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"의 현재 유력 후보는 73%의 "Jordan Bardella"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 73%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 44%의 "Édouard Philippe"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.