US and Chinese leaders concluded a Beijing summit on May 14 with commitments for Chinese purchases of Boeing aircraft, soybeans, beef, and energy products, plus extension of an existing trade truce reached last October. Officials described the outcome as stabilization rather than a comprehensive tariff accord, and President Trump stated that bilateral tariff levels were not addressed during the talks. No further bilateral meetings or policy announcements are scheduled before the May 31 deadline, leaving existing duties largely unchanged. Traders therefore assign the market's leading "No" outcome a 79.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the absence of concrete steps toward a new tariff agreement in the narrow remaining window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
$59,542 거래량
$59,542 거래량
2026.05.31
$59,542 거래량
$59,542 거래량
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US and Chinese leaders concluded a Beijing summit on May 14 with commitments for Chinese purchases of Boeing aircraft, soybeans, beef, and energy products, plus extension of an existing trade truce reached last October. Officials described the outcome as stabilization rather than a comprehensive tariff accord, and President Trump stated that bilateral tariff levels were not addressed during the talks. No further bilateral meetings or policy announcements are scheduled before the May 31 deadline, leaving existing duties largely unchanged. Traders therefore assign the market's leading "No" outcome a 79.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the absence of concrete steps toward a new tariff agreement in the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
거래량
$59,542종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US and Chinese leaders concluded a Beijing summit on May 14 with commitments for Chinese purchases of Boeing aircraft, soybeans, beef, and energy products, plus extension of an existing trade truce reached last October. Officials described the outcome as stabilization rather than a comprehensive tariff accord, and President Trump stated that bilateral tariff levels were not addressed during the talks. No further bilateral meetings or policy announcements are scheduled before the May 31 deadline, leaving existing duties largely unchanged. Traders therefore assign the market's leading "No" outcome a 79.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the absence of concrete steps toward a new tariff agreement in the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
거래량
$59,580종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Chinese leaders concluded a Beijing summit on May 14 with commitments for Chinese purchases of Boeing aircraft, soybeans, beef, and energy products, plus extension of an existing trade truce reached last October. Officials described the outcome as stabilization rather than a comprehensive tariff accord, and President Trump stated that bilateral tariff levels were not addressed during the talks. No further bilateral meetings or policy announcements are scheduled before the May 31 deadline, leaving existing duties largely unchanged. Traders therefore assign the market's leading "No" outcome a 79.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the absence of concrete steps toward a new tariff agreement in the narrow remaining window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문