SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, has driven near-unanimous trader consensus at 97.2% market-implied odds for it IPOing before OpenAI, reflecting the rocket company's advanced regulatory progress toward a potential $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and $30 billion-plus raise amid Starlink's surging revenue. OpenAI, despite earlier H2 2026 ambitions, faces internal pushback from CFO Sarah Friar to delay into 2027 due to revenue shortfalls and unresolved Microsoft ties, with no filing yet as of mid-May. Traders' skin-in-the-game bets price in SpaceX's imminent public prospectus—possibly by late May—while realistic risks like SEC scrutiny, Starship technical setbacks, or unexpected AI regulatory hurdles could still prompt delays.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트스페이스X
$73,195 거래량
$73,195 거래량
2027.12.31
스페이스X
$73,195 거래량
$73,195 거래량
2027.12.31
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, has driven near-unanimous trader consensus at 97.2% market-implied odds for it IPOing before OpenAI, reflecting the rocket company's advanced regulatory progress toward a potential $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and $30 billion-plus raise amid Starlink's surging revenue. OpenAI, despite earlier H2 2026 ambitions, faces internal pushback from CFO Sarah Friar to delay into 2027 due to revenue shortfalls and unresolved Microsoft ties, with no filing yet as of mid-May. Traders' skin-in-the-game bets price in SpaceX's imminent public prospectus—possibly by late May—while realistic risks like SEC scrutiny, Starship technical setbacks, or unexpected AI regulatory hurdles could still prompt delays.
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
거래량
$73,195종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, has driven near-unanimous trader consensus at 97.2% market-implied odds for it IPOing before OpenAI, reflecting the rocket company's advanced regulatory progress toward a potential $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and $30 billion-plus raise amid Starlink's surging revenue. OpenAI, despite earlier H2 2026 ambitions, faces internal pushback from CFO Sarah Friar to delay into 2027 due to revenue shortfalls and unresolved Microsoft ties, with no filing yet as of mid-May. Traders' skin-in-the-game bets price in SpaceX's imminent public prospectus—possibly by late May—while realistic risks like SEC scrutiny, Starship technical setbacks, or unexpected AI regulatory hurdles could still prompt delays.
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$73,195종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, has driven near-unanimous trader consensus at 97.2% market-implied odds for it IPOing before OpenAI, reflecting the rocket company's advanced regulatory progress toward a potential $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and $30 billion-plus raise amid Starlink's surging revenue. OpenAI, despite earlier H2 2026 ambitions, faces internal pushback from CFO Sarah Friar to delay into 2027 due to revenue shortfalls and unresolved Microsoft ties, with no filing yet as of mid-May. Traders' skin-in-the-game bets price in SpaceX's imminent public prospectus—possibly by late May—while realistic risks like SEC scrutiny, Starship technical setbacks, or unexpected AI regulatory hurdles could still prompt delays.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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