As of mid-May 2026, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate averages approximately 6.4%, up modestly from early-year levels near 6.2% amid the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% following three cuts in late 2025. Persistent inflation readings, elevated oil prices above $100 per barrel, and resilient labor-market data have tempered expectations for further policy easing, keeping Treasury yields anchored and supporting mortgage spreads. Forecasters including Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project 2026 averages between 6.1% and 6.3%, with limited downside unless incoming CPI or employment prints signal clearer disinflation. The next FOMC meeting in June and upcoming housing-market data releases remain key catalysts that could shift rate trajectories and trader positioning on whether benchmark levels are breached this year.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$49,755 거래량
↑ 7.00%
34%
↑ 6.75%
55%
↑ 6.50%
84%
↓ 5.90%
45%
↓ 5.70%
49%
↓ 5.50%
51%
$49,755 거래량
↑ 7.00%
34%
↑ 6.75%
55%
↑ 6.50%
84%
↓ 5.90%
45%
↓ 5.70%
49%
↓ 5.50%
51%
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of mid-May 2026, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate averages approximately 6.4%, up modestly from early-year levels near 6.2% amid the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% following three cuts in late 2025. Persistent inflation readings, elevated oil prices above $100 per barrel, and resilient labor-market data have tempered expectations for further policy easing, keeping Treasury yields anchored and supporting mortgage spreads. Forecasters including Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project 2026 averages between 6.1% and 6.3%, with limited downside unless incoming CPI or employment prints signal clearer disinflation. The next FOMC meeting in June and upcoming housing-market data releases remain key catalysts that could shift rate trajectories and trader positioning on whether benchmark levels are breached this year.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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