Anthropic’s rapid private-market ascent underpins the 71.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. After confidentially filing its S-1 in June 2026, the company closed a $65 billion Series H round in May at a $965 billion post-money valuation—up from $380 billion just three months earlier—while annualized revenue surged past $47 billion and is tracking toward $65 billion. Investor roadshows and banker preparations point to an October or Q4 2026 debut, with sources citing 2028 revenue forecasts near $190–200 billion that could support $2–3 trillion pricing at aggressive multiples. Strong revenue momentum, Claude model traction, and precedent from SpaceX’s large-cap listing continue to anchor trader expectations for a premium outcome above the $1.8 trillion threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano1.8T+ 72%
1.5–1.8T 14.5%
1.2–1.5T 5.4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.0%
$336,536 Wol.
$336,536 Wol.
Dec 30, 2027
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
1%
0.9–1.2T
2%
1.2–1.5T
5%
1.5–1.8T
15%
1.8T+
72%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
4%
1.8T+ 72%
1.5–1.8T 14.5%
1.2–1.5T 5.4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.0%
$336,536 Wol.
$336,536 Wol.
Dec 30, 2027
<0.6T
$17,739 Wol.
1%
0.6–0.9T
$23,405 Wol.
1%
0.9–1.2T
$22,314 Wol.
2%
1.2–1.5T
$30,181 Wol.
5%
1.5–1.8T
$35,314 Wol.
15%
1.8T+
$161,582 Wol.
72%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$46,001 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid private-market ascent underpins the 71.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. After confidentially filing its S-1 in June 2026, the company closed a $65 billion Series H round in May at a $965 billion post-money valuation—up from $380 billion just three months earlier—while annualized revenue surged past $47 billion and is tracking toward $65 billion. Investor roadshows and banker preparations point to an October or Q4 2026 debut, with sources citing 2028 revenue forecasts near $190–200 billion that could support $2–3 trillion pricing at aggressive multiples. Strong revenue momentum, Claude model traction, and precedent from SpaceX’s large-cap listing continue to anchor trader expectations for a premium outcome above the $1.8 trillion threshold.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$336,536Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid private-market ascent underpins the 71.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. After confidentially filing its S-1 in June 2026, the company closed a $65 billion Series H round in May at a $965 billion post-money valuation—up from $380 billion just three months earlier—while annualized revenue surged past $47 billion and is tracking toward $65 billion. Investor roadshows and banker preparations point to an October or Q4 2026 debut, with sources citing 2028 revenue forecasts near $190–200 billion that could support $2–3 trillion pricing at aggressive multiples. Strong revenue momentum, Claude model traction, and precedent from SpaceX’s large-cap listing continue to anchor trader expectations for a premium outcome above the $1.8 trillion threshold.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$336,536Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid private-market ascent underpins the 71.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. After confidentially filing its S-1 in June 2026, the company closed a $65 billion Series H round in May at a $965 billion post-money valuation—up from $380 billion just three months earlier—while annualized revenue surged past $47 billion and is tracking toward $65 billion. Investor roadshows and banker preparations point to an October or Q4 2026 debut, with sources citing 2028 revenue forecasts near $190–200 billion that could support $2–3 trillion pricing at aggressive multiples. Strong revenue momentum, Claude model traction, and precedent from SpaceX’s large-cap listing continue to anchor trader expectations for a premium outcome above the $1.8 trillion threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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