Geopolitical supply disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven the primary upward pressure on WTI crude oil futures, which traded near $105 per barrel as of mid-May 2026 after sharp gains exceeding 4% in recent sessions. Record global inventory draws of 4 million barrels per day in March and April, including a 170 million barrel drop in on-land stocks, reflect tight physical balances amid shut-in production estimated at over 10 million barrels per day from Gulf producers. EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent prices holding around $106 per barrel through June before easing, supported by seasonal demand but tempered by potential supply recovery and OPEC+ output adjustments. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory releases, the June OPEC+ meeting, and any de-escalation signals that could ease tanker traffic and reverse the current backwardated futures curve.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCzy ropa naftowa (CL) uderzy__ do końca czerwca?
$17,173,374 Wol.
↑ 200 USD
2%
↑ 175 USD
5%
↑ 150 USD
13%
↑ 140 USD
20%
↑ 130 USD
32%
↑ 120 USD
48%
↑ 115 USD
58%
↑ $110
66%
↑ $105
87%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
48%
↓ 80 USD
38%
↓ 70 USD
10%
↓ 60 USD
5%
↓ 55 USD
3%
↓ 52 USD
2%
↓ 50 USD
2%
↓ 47 USD
1%
↓ 45 USD
2%
↓ 40 USD
1%
↓ 35 USD
1%
$17,173,374 Wol.
↑ 200 USD
2%
↑ 175 USD
5%
↑ 150 USD
13%
↑ 140 USD
20%
↑ 130 USD
32%
↑ 120 USD
48%
↑ 115 USD
58%
↑ $110
66%
↑ $105
87%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
48%
↓ 80 USD
38%
↓ 70 USD
10%
↓ 60 USD
5%
↓ 55 USD
3%
↓ 52 USD
2%
↓ 50 USD
2%
↓ 47 USD
1%
↓ 45 USD
2%
↓ 40 USD
1%
↓ 35 USD
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven the primary upward pressure on WTI crude oil futures, which traded near $105 per barrel as of mid-May 2026 after sharp gains exceeding 4% in recent sessions. Record global inventory draws of 4 million barrels per day in March and April, including a 170 million barrel drop in on-land stocks, reflect tight physical balances amid shut-in production estimated at over 10 million barrels per day from Gulf producers. EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent prices holding around $106 per barrel through June before easing, supported by seasonal demand but tempered by potential supply recovery and OPEC+ output adjustments. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory releases, the June OPEC+ meeting, and any de-escalation signals that could ease tanker traffic and reverse the current backwardated futures curve.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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