Ongoing US-Iran tensions and the resulting closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp gains in crude oil benchmarks, with WTI crude trading near $111 per barrel as of mid-May 2026 after rising more than 14% over the past month. Supply disruptions from regional production shut-ins and elevated shipping costs have tightened global balances, pushing Brent futures above $110 and widening the Brent-WTI spread. Traders are now focusing on potential de-escalation talks, OPEC+ output decisions, and upcoming US inventory data releases that could influence whether prices sustain above key thresholds through June. Market-implied odds reflect these geopolitical risks alongside resilient US demand and SPR management considerations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCzy ropa naftowa (CL) uderzy__ do końca czerwca?
$16,947,617 Wol.
↑ 200 USD
3%
↑ 175 USD
6%
↑ 150 USD
12%
↑ 140 USD
18%
↑ 130 USD
30%
↑ 120 USD
50%
↑ 115 USD
67%
↑ $110
68%
↑ $105
86%
↓ $90
60%
↓ $85
42%
↓ 80 USD
38%
↓ 70 USD
12%
↓ 60 USD
6%
↓ 55 USD
4%
↓ 52 USD
2%
↓ 50 USD
2%
↓ 47 USD
2%
↓ 45 USD
2%
↓ 40 USD
1%
↓ 35 USD
1%
$16,947,617 Wol.
↑ 200 USD
3%
↑ 175 USD
6%
↑ 150 USD
12%
↑ 140 USD
18%
↑ 130 USD
30%
↑ 120 USD
50%
↑ 115 USD
67%
↑ $110
68%
↑ $105
86%
↓ $90
60%
↓ $85
42%
↓ 80 USD
38%
↓ 70 USD
12%
↓ 60 USD
6%
↓ 55 USD
4%
↓ 52 USD
2%
↓ 50 USD
2%
↓ 47 USD
2%
↓ 45 USD
2%
↓ 40 USD
1%
↓ 35 USD
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran tensions and the resulting closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp gains in crude oil benchmarks, with WTI crude trading near $111 per barrel as of mid-May 2026 after rising more than 14% over the past month. Supply disruptions from regional production shut-ins and elevated shipping costs have tightened global balances, pushing Brent futures above $110 and widening the Brent-WTI spread. Traders are now focusing on potential de-escalation talks, OPEC+ output decisions, and upcoming US inventory data releases that could influence whether prices sustain above key thresholds through June. Market-implied odds reflect these geopolitical risks alongside resilient US demand and SPR management considerations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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