Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz amid U.S.-Iran frictions, remain the dominant driver of crude oil (CL) futures volatility heading into late June 2026. Supply constraints have tightened global balances, with the IEA projecting a sharp inventory drawdown and OPEC+ output falling well below prior expectations, while recent OPEC reports lowered 2026 demand growth forecasts to 1.17 million barrels per day. Elevated front-month WTI prices, recently trading in the mid-$90s to low $100s after earlier spikes above $118, reflect this premium, though high U.S. exports and signs of potential de-escalation have introduced downward pressure. Traders will closely monitor weekly inventory data, any further diplomatic developments, and OPEC+ compliance ahead of the June contract expiration for clearer signals on whether prices sustain or retreat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCzy ropa naftowa (CL) uderzy__ do końca czerwca?
$17,116,540 Wol.
↑ 200 USD
2%
↑ 175 USD
5%
↑ 150 USD
12%
↑ 140 USD
19%
↑ 130 USD
30%
↑ 120 USD
47%
↑ 115 USD
58%
↑ $110
66%
↑ $105
88%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
42%
↓ 80 USD
36%
↓ 70 USD
10%
↓ 60 USD
5%
↓ 55 USD
3%
↓ 52 USD
2%
↓ 50 USD
2%
↓ 47 USD
1%
↓ 45 USD
1%
↓ 40 USD
1%
↓ 35 USD
1%
$17,116,540 Wol.
↑ 200 USD
2%
↑ 175 USD
5%
↑ 150 USD
12%
↑ 140 USD
19%
↑ 130 USD
30%
↑ 120 USD
47%
↑ 115 USD
58%
↑ $110
66%
↑ $105
88%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
42%
↓ 80 USD
36%
↓ 70 USD
10%
↓ 60 USD
5%
↓ 55 USD
3%
↓ 52 USD
2%
↓ 50 USD
2%
↓ 47 USD
1%
↓ 45 USD
1%
↓ 40 USD
1%
↓ 35 USD
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz amid U.S.-Iran frictions, remain the dominant driver of crude oil (CL) futures volatility heading into late June 2026. Supply constraints have tightened global balances, with the IEA projecting a sharp inventory drawdown and OPEC+ output falling well below prior expectations, while recent OPEC reports lowered 2026 demand growth forecasts to 1.17 million barrels per day. Elevated front-month WTI prices, recently trading in the mid-$90s to low $100s after earlier spikes above $118, reflect this premium, though high U.S. exports and signs of potential de-escalation have introduced downward pressure. Traders will closely monitor weekly inventory data, any further diplomatic developments, and OPEC+ compliance ahead of the June contract expiration for clearer signals on whether prices sustain or retreat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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