On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US government export controls citing national security concerns triggered Anthropic's abrupt global suspension of Claude Fable 5, its most advanced large language model with enhanced agentic capabilities, just days after the June 9 public launch. The directive targeted foreign nationals, but Anthropic disabled access for all users—including US customers—because real-time filtering proved impractical, routing queries to weaker models like Opus 4.8 instead. Ongoing high-level talks with the White House reflect unresolved tensions over potential guardrail bypasses and model power, while the company publicly calls the move a likely misunderstanding and works toward restoration. Traders are watching for any policy carve-out or technical fix that could quickly reopen US access amid competitive pressure from other frontier AI labs.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US government export controls citing national security concerns triggered Anthropic's abrupt global suspension of Claude Fable 5, its most advanced large language model with enhanced agentic capabilities, just days after the June 9 public launch. The directive targeted foreign nationals, but Anthropic disabled access for all users—including US customers—because real-time filtering proved impractical, routing queries to weaker models like Opus 4.8 instead. Ongoing high-level talks with the White House reflect unresolved tensions over potential guardrail bypasses and model power, while the company publicly calls the move a likely misunderstanding and works toward restoration. Traders are watching for any policy carve-out or technical fix that could quickly reopen US access amid competitive pressure from other frontier AI labs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Jun 18 2026
No restoration of Claude Fable 5 access announced as of June 18, 2026
June 18 plunges to 0%43%
Despite ongoing negotiations and public pressure, Anthropic has not announced any restoration of access to Claude Fable 5 or Mythos 5 for US customers or others. The models remain disabled globally due to the US government export control directive.
Jun 18 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Fable 5 restoration plans with credit-based access starting June 23
July 1 surges to 74%34%
Anthropic confirmed that Claude Fable 5 will transition to a credit-based access model starting June 23, after the free access window ends on June 22. The company intends to restore Fable 5 as a standard feature of subscription plans once sufficient compute capacity is available, indicating a pathway for US customers to regain public access.
Jun 16 2026
Anthropic executive says Fable 5 may return "in the coming days"
June 19 plunges to 10%47%
At Anthropic's Seoul office launch, Managing Director Chris Ciauri reportedly said the suspended Fable 5 / Mythos 5 models could become available again "in the coming days." This unofficial comment provided some hope but no firm restoration date, contributing to market volatility.
Jun 16 2026
Rumor claims Claude Fable 5 access will be restored within 48 hours
June 19 plunges to 10%47%
A third-party account called BridgeMind posted on social media that Claude Fable 5 access would be restored within 48 hours. This rumor spread widely, briefly boosting market prices despite lacking official confirmation from Anthropic.
Jun 15 2026
Anthropic senior engineers meet US Commerce Department to negotiate restoration of Claude Fable 5 access
June 19 surges to 57%17%
Anthropic dispatched senior technical staff to Washington for face-to-face talks with Commerce Department officials, aiming to resolve the export control dispute and restore access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5. The meeting was the first in-person discussion since the directive was issued.
Jun 14 2026
Cybersecurity leaders urge US government to lift restrictions on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5
June 19 plunges to 0%43%
Over 150 cybersecurity executives and technical leaders signed an open letter to the US government, arguing that the export control directive removing access to Anthropic's most powerful AI models handicaps defenders without effectively slowing attackers. They called for the restrictions to be lifted to restore advanced AI tools for cybersecurity defense.
Jun 14 2026
Anthropic sends senior engineers to Washington seeking to lift Fable 5 export ban
July 1 surges to 73%29%
Anthropic dispatched senior technical staff to meet with US government officials in an effort to negotiate lifting the export restrictions that forced the shutdown of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 worldwide. This indicated ongoing efforts to restore access but no public announcement of restoration was made within the analysis window.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic Confirms Global Suspension of Fable 5 and Mythos 5 to Comply with US Directive
June 19 plunges to 12%45%
Anthropic officially took down access to both models globally on June 13, 2026, to comply with the export control directive, while publicly disputing the severity of the alleged jailbreak.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic Promises to Work on Restoring Access to Suspended Models
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Anthropic stated it is actively working to resolve the regulatory concerns and restore access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 as soon as possible, shifting market expectations to later dates.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic confirms suspension of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 access globally
July 1 surges to 72%36%
Following the US government directive, Anthropic confirmed that access to Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 was suspended worldwide, including for US customers, with no immediate timeline for restoration. Other Claude models remained available. This confirmed that Claude Fable 5 was not restored to US customers by the market's resolution date.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic announces plans to restore Claude Fable 5 access to US customers
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Following the government directive, Anthropic publicly stated it is working to restore access to Claude Fable 5 for US customers and promised more details within 24 hours. This announcement led to a rebound in market prices as investors anticipated a resolution allowing US users to regain access.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic announces June 23 Fable 5 restoration plan
June 26 jumps to 14%8%
Anthropic stated it plans to restore Claude Fable 5 to subscription plans after June 22, with full plan inclusion expected once capacity allows, signaling potential future accessibility.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic states US government directive is a misunderstanding and works to restore access
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Anthropic publicly disputed the US government's basis for the export control directive, calling it a misunderstanding and emphasizing the narrow, non-universal nature of the alleged jailbreak. The company committed to working with officials to restore access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 as soon as possible, providing some market support.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic publicly confirms suspension of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 access due to US government directive
July 1 dips to 71%1%
Anthropic announced it had suspended access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 following a US government export control directive citing national security concerns. The company stated it was working to restore access as soon as possible but disagreed with the government's assessment that a narrow jailbreak justified the suspension.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US government export controls citing national security concerns triggered Anthropic's abrupt global suspension of Claude Fable 5, its most advanced large language model with enhanced agentic capabilities, just days after the June 9 public launch. The directive targeted foreign nationals, but Anthropic disabled access for all users—including US customers—because real-time filtering proved impractical, routing queries to weaker models like Opus 4.8 instead. Ongoing high-level talks with the White House reflect unresolved tensions over potential guardrail bypasses and model power, while the company publicly calls the move a likely misunderstanding and works toward restoration. Traders are watching for any policy carve-out or technical fix that could quickly reopen US access amid competitive pressure from other frontier AI labs.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US government export controls citing national security concerns triggered Anthropic's abrupt global suspension of Claude Fable 5, its most advanced large language model with enhanced agentic capabilities, just days after the June 9 public launch. The directive targeted foreign nationals, but Anthropic disabled access for all users—including US customers—because real-time filtering proved impractical, routing queries to weaker models like Opus 4.8 instead. Ongoing high-level talks with the White House reflect unresolved tensions over potential guardrail bypasses and model power, while the company publicly calls the move a likely misunderstanding and works toward restoration. Traders are watching for any policy carve-out or technical fix that could quickly reopen US access amid competitive pressure from other frontier AI labs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Jun 18 2026
No restoration of Claude Fable 5 access announced as of June 18, 2026
June 18 plunges to 0%43%
Despite ongoing negotiations and public pressure, Anthropic has not announced any restoration of access to Claude Fable 5 or Mythos 5 for US customers or others. The models remain disabled globally due to the US government export control directive.
Jun 18 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Fable 5 restoration plans with credit-based access starting June 23
July 1 surges to 74%34%
Anthropic confirmed that Claude Fable 5 will transition to a credit-based access model starting June 23, after the free access window ends on June 22. The company intends to restore Fable 5 as a standard feature of subscription plans once sufficient compute capacity is available, indicating a pathway for US customers to regain public access.
Jun 16 2026
Anthropic executive says Fable 5 may return "in the coming days"
June 19 plunges to 10%47%
At Anthropic's Seoul office launch, Managing Director Chris Ciauri reportedly said the suspended Fable 5 / Mythos 5 models could become available again "in the coming days." This unofficial comment provided some hope but no firm restoration date, contributing to market volatility.
Jun 16 2026
Rumor claims Claude Fable 5 access will be restored within 48 hours
June 19 plunges to 10%47%
A third-party account called BridgeMind posted on social media that Claude Fable 5 access would be restored within 48 hours. This rumor spread widely, briefly boosting market prices despite lacking official confirmation from Anthropic.
Jun 15 2026
Anthropic senior engineers meet US Commerce Department to negotiate restoration of Claude Fable 5 access
June 19 surges to 57%17%
Anthropic dispatched senior technical staff to Washington for face-to-face talks with Commerce Department officials, aiming to resolve the export control dispute and restore access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5. The meeting was the first in-person discussion since the directive was issued.
Jun 14 2026
Cybersecurity leaders urge US government to lift restrictions on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5
June 19 plunges to 0%43%
Over 150 cybersecurity executives and technical leaders signed an open letter to the US government, arguing that the export control directive removing access to Anthropic's most powerful AI models handicaps defenders without effectively slowing attackers. They called for the restrictions to be lifted to restore advanced AI tools for cybersecurity defense.
Jun 14 2026
Anthropic sends senior engineers to Washington seeking to lift Fable 5 export ban
July 1 surges to 73%29%
Anthropic dispatched senior technical staff to meet with US government officials in an effort to negotiate lifting the export restrictions that forced the shutdown of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 worldwide. This indicated ongoing efforts to restore access but no public announcement of restoration was made within the analysis window.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic Confirms Global Suspension of Fable 5 and Mythos 5 to Comply with US Directive
June 19 plunges to 12%45%
Anthropic officially took down access to both models globally on June 13, 2026, to comply with the export control directive, while publicly disputing the severity of the alleged jailbreak.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic Promises to Work on Restoring Access to Suspended Models
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Anthropic stated it is actively working to resolve the regulatory concerns and restore access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 as soon as possible, shifting market expectations to later dates.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic confirms suspension of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 access globally
July 1 surges to 72%36%
Following the US government directive, Anthropic confirmed that access to Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 was suspended worldwide, including for US customers, with no immediate timeline for restoration. Other Claude models remained available. This confirmed that Claude Fable 5 was not restored to US customers by the market's resolution date.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic announces plans to restore Claude Fable 5 access to US customers
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Following the government directive, Anthropic publicly stated it is working to restore access to Claude Fable 5 for US customers and promised more details within 24 hours. This announcement led to a rebound in market prices as investors anticipated a resolution allowing US users to regain access.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic announces June 23 Fable 5 restoration plan
June 26 jumps to 14%8%
Anthropic stated it plans to restore Claude Fable 5 to subscription plans after June 22, with full plan inclusion expected once capacity allows, signaling potential future accessibility.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic states US government directive is a misunderstanding and works to restore access
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Anthropic publicly disputed the US government's basis for the export control directive, calling it a misunderstanding and emphasizing the narrow, non-universal nature of the alleged jailbreak. The company committed to working with officials to restore access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 as soon as possible, providing some market support.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic publicly confirms suspension of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 access due to US government directive
July 1 dips to 71%1%
Anthropic announced it had suspended access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 following a US government export control directive citing national security concerns. The company stated it was working to restore access as soon as possible but disagreed with the government's assessment that a narrow jailbreak justified the suspension.
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Często zadawane pytania
"Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 8 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "July 1" z 71%, za nim "June 26" z 57%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 71¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 71% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.
Na dzień dzisiejszy "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" wygenerował $1.1 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jun 13, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.
Aby handlować na "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?", przeglądaj 8 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.
Obecnym faworytem dla "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" jest "July 1" z 71%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 71% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "June 26" z 57%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.
Zasady rozstrzygania "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.
Tak. Nie musisz handlować, aby być na bieżąco. Ta strona służy jako tracker na żywo dla "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?". Prawdopodobieństwa wyników aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym z każdą nową transakcją. Możesz dodać tę stronę do zakładek i sprawdzić sekcję komentarzy, aby zobaczyć, co myślą inni traderzy. Możesz też użyć filtrów zakresu czasu na wykresie, aby zobaczyć, jak kursy zmieniały się w czasie. To darmowe, działające w czasie rzeczywistym okno na to, czego rynek oczekuje.
Kursy Polymarket ustalane są przez prawdziwych traderów stawiających prawdziwe pieniądze za swoimi przekonaniami, co zwykle prowadzi do trafnych prognoz. Z $1.1 million wolumenu na "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?", ceny te agregują zbiorową wiedzę i zaangażowanie tysięcy uczestników — często przewyższając sondaże, prognozy ekspertów i tradycyjne badania. Rynki prognoz jak Polymarket mają silną historię trafności, szczególnie gdy wydarzenia zbliżają się do rozstrzygnięcia. Na przykład, Polymarket ma miesięczny wynik trafności 94%. Najnowsze statystyki trafności prognoz Polymarket znajdziesz na stronie trafności na Polymarket.
Aby złożyć swoje pierwsze zlecenie na "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?", zarejestruj darmowe konto Polymarket i doładuj je kryptowalutą, kartą kredytową lub debetową albo przelewem bankowym. Po doładowaniu konta wróć na tę stronę, wybierz wynik, na który chcesz handlować, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli jesteś nowy w rynkach prognoz, kliknij link "Jak to działa" na górze dowolnej strony Polymarket, aby zobaczyć szybki przewodnik krok po kroku.
Na Polymarket cena każdego wyniku reprezentuje implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Cena 71¢ za "July 1" na rynku "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" oznacza, że traderzy zbiorowo wierzą, iż istnieje w przybliżeniu 71% szansy na to, że "July 1" będzie poprawnym wynikiem. Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" po 71¢ i wynik jest poprawny, otrzymasz $1.00 za udział — zysk 29¢ za udział. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, te udziały są warte $0.
Rynek "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" jest zaplanowany na rozstrzygnięcie około Jul 1, 2026. Handel pozostaje otwarty, a kursy będą się zmieniać w miarę pojawiania się nowych informacji. Dokładny czas rozstrzygnięcia zależy od tego, kiedy oficjalny wynik stanie się dostępny, zgodnie z sekcją "Zasady" na tej stronie.
Rynek "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" ma aktywną społeczność z 88 komentarzami, gdzie traderzy dzielą się swoimi analizami, debatują nad wynikami i omawiają najnowsze wydarzenia. Przewiń w dół do sekcji komentarzy, aby przeczytać, co myślą inni uczestnicy. Możesz też filtrować według "Najwięksi posiadacze", aby zobaczyć, na czym pozycjonują się największe portfele rynku, lub sprawdzić zakładkę "Aktywność" dla transmisji transakcji na żywo.
Polymarket to największy na świecie rynek prognoz, na którym możesz być na bieżąco i czerpać zyski ze swojej wiedzy o wydarzeniach w świecie rzeczywistym. Traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały w wynikach tematów od polityki i wyborów po kryptowaluty, finanse, sport, technologię i kulturę, w tym rynki takie jak "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?". Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym poparte finansowym zaangażowaniem, często dostarczając szybsze i trafniejsze sygnały niż sondaże, komentatorzy czy tradycyjne badania.
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