**Gridlock over preemption, safety mandates, and federal versus state authority has kept comprehensive AI legislation from advancing despite multiple 2026 proposals.** Bipartisan drafts such as the Great American AI Act and FRONTIER Act cleared House committees this summer but remain stalled short of floor votes, while Senate negotiations on duty-of-care and risk-mitigation rules for frontier models face ongoing partisan divides. The Trump administration’s March 2026 National AI Legislative Framework and related executive orders emphasize voluntary measures and preemption of state rules rather than prescriptive requirements, aligning with industry concerns and reducing urgency for binding statute. With the House departing for midterms and limited legislative days remaining in the 119th Congress, traders see low odds of a single comprehensive framework clearing both chambers and receiving presidential signature before 2028.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoComprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?
40% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
40% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation establishing a comprehensive federal framework for artificial intelligence becomes law in the United States between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Legislation establishes a comprehensive federal framework for artificial intelligence if its enacted text contains provisions in both of the following categories:
(1) Standards or testing: the legislation directs a federal agency or body (for example, the National Institute of Standards and Technology) to develop, adopt, or maintain technical standards, benchmarks, testing frameworks, or evaluation capacity for artificial intelligence systems.
(2) Transparency, disclosure, or risk management: the legislation requires transparency, disclosure, reporting, or risk-management practices for artificial intelligence systems, either as obligations on private-sector developers or deployers, or as guidelines or frameworks that a federal agency is directed to develop or adopt for use by federal agencies, whether mandatory or voluntary. Findings, sense-of-Congress language, and provisions that only authorize a study or require a one-time report to Congress will not satisfy this category.
The qualifying provisions must apply to artificial intelligence systems generally, either government-wide or to private-sector developers or deployers. Provisions that govern only the artificial intelligence systems developed, procured, or used by a single federal department or agency, or only defense, national security, or intelligence applications (for example, Department of Defense or intelligence community provisions in a National Defense Authorization Act or Intelligence Authorization Act), will not qualify. Qualifying provisions may be enacted as a standalone act or as a distinct title or division of a broader act.
Pending legislation that this market is intended to capture includes the American Leadership in AI Act (H.R. 8516, 119th Congress) and the Great American Artificial Intelligence Act of 2026 (Obernolte-Trahan discussion draft released June 4, 2026). Whether any legislation qualifies will be determined solely by whether its enacted text satisfies the requirements above, regardless of its title or sponsors.
Legislation that satisfies only one of the two categories above will not qualify. Legislation whose artificial intelligence provisions apply only to a single application, sector, or technology (for example, semiconductor or chip export controls, deepfakes or digital replicas, chatbots or companion applications, data centers or their electricity use, autonomous vehicles, or the funding of a research resource such as the National Artificial Intelligence Research Resource) will not qualify, even if it contains standards, testing, disclosure, or reporting provisions for that application. Legislation that became law before January 1, 2026, including the National Artificial Intelligence Initiative Act of 2020, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Congress.gov's legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Gridlock over preemption, safety mandates, and federal versus state authority has kept comprehensive AI legislation from advancing despite multiple 2026 proposals.** Bipartisan drafts such as the Great American AI Act and FRONTIER Act cleared House committees this summer but remain stalled short of floor votes, while Senate negotiations on duty-of-care and risk-mitigation rules for frontier models face ongoing partisan divides. The Trump administration’s March 2026 National AI Legislative Framework and related executive orders emphasize voluntary measures and preemption of state rules rather than prescriptive requirements, aligning with industry concerns and reducing urgency for binding statute. With the House departing for midterms and limited legislative days remaining in the 119th Congress, traders see low odds of a single comprehensive framework clearing both chambers and receiving presidential signature before 2028.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation establishing a comprehensive federal framework for artificial intelligence becomes law in the United States between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Legislation establishes a comprehensive federal framework for artificial intelligence if its enacted text contains provisions in both of the following categories:
(1) Standards or testing: the legislation directs a federal agency or body (for example, the National Institute of Standards and Technology) to develop, adopt, or maintain technical standards, benchmarks, testing frameworks, or evaluation capacity for artificial intelligence systems.
(2) Transparency, disclosure, or risk management: the legislation requires transparency, disclosure, reporting, or risk-management practices for artificial intelligence systems, either as obligations on private-sector developers or deployers, or as guidelines or frameworks that a federal agency is directed to develop or adopt for use by federal agencies, whether mandatory or voluntary. Findings, sense-of-Congress language, and provisions that only authorize a study or require a one-time report to Congress will not satisfy this category.
The qualifying provisions must apply to artificial intelligence systems generally, either government-wide or to private-sector developers or deployers. Provisions that govern only the artificial intelligence systems developed, procured, or used by a single federal department or agency, or only defense, national security, or intelligence applications (for example, Department of Defense or intelligence community provisions in a National Defense Authorization Act or Intelligence Authorization Act), will not qualify. Qualifying provisions may be enacted as a standalone act or as a distinct title or division of a broader act.
Pending legislation that this market is intended to capture includes the American Leadership in AI Act (H.R. 8516, 119th Congress) and the Great American Artificial Intelligence Act of 2026 (Obernolte-Trahan discussion draft released June 4, 2026). Whether any legislation qualifies will be determined solely by whether its enacted text satisfies the requirements above, regardless of its title or sponsors.
Legislation that satisfies only one of the two categories above will not qualify. Legislation whose artificial intelligence provisions apply only to a single application, sector, or technology (for example, semiconductor or chip export controls, deepfakes or digital replicas, chatbots or companion applications, data centers or their electricity use, autonomous vehicles, or the funding of a research resource such as the National Artificial Intelligence Research Resource) will not qualify, even if it contains standards, testing, disclosure, or reporting provisions for that application. Legislation that became law before January 1, 2026, including the National Artificial Intelligence Initiative Act of 2020, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Congress.gov's legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation establishes a comprehensive federal framework for artificial intelligence if its enacted text contains provisions in both of the following categories:
(1) Standards or testing: the legislation directs a federal agency or body (for example, the National Institute of Standards and Technology) to develop, adopt, or maintain technical standards, benchmarks, testing frameworks, or evaluation capacity for artificial intelligence systems.
(2) Transparency, disclosure, or risk management: the legislation requires transparency, disclosure, reporting, or risk-management practices for artificial intelligence systems, either as obligations on private-sector developers or deployers, or as guidelines or frameworks that a federal agency is directed to develop or adopt for use by federal agencies, whether mandatory or voluntary. Findings, sense-of-Congress language, and provisions that only authorize a study or require a one-time report to Congress will not satisfy this category.
The qualifying provisions must apply to artificial intelligence systems generally, either government-wide or to private-sector developers or deployers. Provisions that govern only the artificial intelligence systems developed, procured, or used by a single federal department or agency, or only defense, national security, or intelligence applications (for example, Department of Defense or intelligence community provisions in a National Defense Authorization Act or Intelligence Authorization Act), will not qualify. Qualifying provisions may be enacted as a standalone act or as a distinct title or division of a broader act.
Pending legislation that this market is intended to capture includes the American Leadership in AI Act (H.R. 8516, 119th Congress) and the Great American Artificial Intelligence Act of 2026 (Obernolte-Trahan discussion draft released June 4, 2026). Whether any legislation qualifies will be determined solely by whether its enacted text satisfies the requirements above, regardless of its title or sponsors.
Legislation that satisfies only one of the two categories above will not qualify. Legislation whose artificial intelligence provisions apply only to a single application, sector, or technology (for example, semiconductor or chip export controls, deepfakes or digital replicas, chatbots or companion applications, data centers or their electricity use, autonomous vehicles, or the funding of a research resource such as the National Artificial Intelligence Research Resource) will not qualify, even if it contains standards, testing, disclosure, or reporting provisions for that application. Legislation that became law before January 1, 2026, including the National Artificial Intelligence Initiative Act of 2020, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Congress.gov's legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 5:06 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation establishing a comprehensive federal framework for artificial intelligence becomes law in the United States between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Legislation establishes a comprehensive federal framework for artificial intelligence if its enacted text contains provisions in both of the following categories:
(1) Standards or testing: the legislation directs a federal agency or body (for example, the National Institute of Standards and Technology) to develop, adopt, or maintain technical standards, benchmarks, testing frameworks, or evaluation capacity for artificial intelligence systems.
(2) Transparency, disclosure, or risk management: the legislation requires transparency, disclosure, reporting, or risk-management practices for artificial intelligence systems, either as obligations on private-sector developers or deployers, or as guidelines or frameworks that a federal agency is directed to develop or adopt for use by federal agencies, whether mandatory or voluntary. Findings, sense-of-Congress language, and provisions that only authorize a study or require a one-time report to Congress will not satisfy this category.
The qualifying provisions must apply to artificial intelligence systems generally, either government-wide or to private-sector developers or deployers. Provisions that govern only the artificial intelligence systems developed, procured, or used by a single federal department or agency, or only defense, national security, or intelligence applications (for example, Department of Defense or intelligence community provisions in a National Defense Authorization Act or Intelligence Authorization Act), will not qualify. Qualifying provisions may be enacted as a standalone act or as a distinct title or division of a broader act.
Pending legislation that this market is intended to capture includes the American Leadership in AI Act (H.R. 8516, 119th Congress) and the Great American Artificial Intelligence Act of 2026 (Obernolte-Trahan discussion draft released June 4, 2026). Whether any legislation qualifies will be determined solely by whether its enacted text satisfies the requirements above, regardless of its title or sponsors.
Legislation that satisfies only one of the two categories above will not qualify. Legislation whose artificial intelligence provisions apply only to a single application, sector, or technology (for example, semiconductor or chip export controls, deepfakes or digital replicas, chatbots or companion applications, data centers or their electricity use, autonomous vehicles, or the funding of a research resource such as the National Artificial Intelligence Research Resource) will not qualify, even if it contains standards, testing, disclosure, or reporting provisions for that application. Legislation that became law before January 1, 2026, including the National Artificial Intelligence Initiative Act of 2020, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Congress.gov's legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Gridlock over preemption, safety mandates, and federal versus state authority has kept comprehensive AI legislation from advancing despite multiple 2026 proposals.** Bipartisan drafts such as the Great American AI Act and FRONTIER Act cleared House committees this summer but remain stalled short of floor votes, while Senate negotiations on duty-of-care and risk-mitigation rules for frontier models face ongoing partisan divides. The Trump administration’s March 2026 National AI Legislative Framework and related executive orders emphasize voluntary measures and preemption of state rules rather than prescriptive requirements, aligning with industry concerns and reducing urgency for binding statute. With the House departing for midterms and limited legislative days remaining in the 119th Congress, traders see low odds of a single comprehensive framework clearing both chambers and receiving presidential signature before 2028.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation establishing a comprehensive federal framework for artificial intelligence becomes law in the United States between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Legislation establishes a comprehensive federal framework for artificial intelligence if its enacted text contains provisions in both of the following categories:
(1) Standards or testing: the legislation directs a federal agency or body (for example, the National Institute of Standards and Technology) to develop, adopt, or maintain technical standards, benchmarks, testing frameworks, or evaluation capacity for artificial intelligence systems.
(2) Transparency, disclosure, or risk management: the legislation requires transparency, disclosure, reporting, or risk-management practices for artificial intelligence systems, either as obligations on private-sector developers or deployers, or as guidelines or frameworks that a federal agency is directed to develop or adopt for use by federal agencies, whether mandatory or voluntary. Findings, sense-of-Congress language, and provisions that only authorize a study or require a one-time report to Congress will not satisfy this category.
The qualifying provisions must apply to artificial intelligence systems generally, either government-wide or to private-sector developers or deployers. Provisions that govern only the artificial intelligence systems developed, procured, or used by a single federal department or agency, or only defense, national security, or intelligence applications (for example, Department of Defense or intelligence community provisions in a National Defense Authorization Act or Intelligence Authorization Act), will not qualify. Qualifying provisions may be enacted as a standalone act or as a distinct title or division of a broader act.
Pending legislation that this market is intended to capture includes the American Leadership in AI Act (H.R. 8516, 119th Congress) and the Great American Artificial Intelligence Act of 2026 (Obernolte-Trahan discussion draft released June 4, 2026). Whether any legislation qualifies will be determined solely by whether its enacted text satisfies the requirements above, regardless of its title or sponsors.
Legislation that satisfies only one of the two categories above will not qualify. Legislation whose artificial intelligence provisions apply only to a single application, sector, or technology (for example, semiconductor or chip export controls, deepfakes or digital replicas, chatbots or companion applications, data centers or their electricity use, autonomous vehicles, or the funding of a research resource such as the National Artificial Intelligence Research Resource) will not qualify, even if it contains standards, testing, disclosure, or reporting provisions for that application. Legislation that became law before January 1, 2026, including the National Artificial Intelligence Initiative Act of 2020, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Congress.gov's legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation establishes a comprehensive federal framework for artificial intelligence if its enacted text contains provisions in both of the following categories:
(1) Standards or testing: the legislation directs a federal agency or body (for example, the National Institute of Standards and Technology) to develop, adopt, or maintain technical standards, benchmarks, testing frameworks, or evaluation capacity for artificial intelligence systems.
(2) Transparency, disclosure, or risk management: the legislation requires transparency, disclosure, reporting, or risk-management practices for artificial intelligence systems, either as obligations on private-sector developers or deployers, or as guidelines or frameworks that a federal agency is directed to develop or adopt for use by federal agencies, whether mandatory or voluntary. Findings, sense-of-Congress language, and provisions that only authorize a study or require a one-time report to Congress will not satisfy this category.
The qualifying provisions must apply to artificial intelligence systems generally, either government-wide or to private-sector developers or deployers. Provisions that govern only the artificial intelligence systems developed, procured, or used by a single federal department or agency, or only defense, national security, or intelligence applications (for example, Department of Defense or intelligence community provisions in a National Defense Authorization Act or Intelligence Authorization Act), will not qualify. Qualifying provisions may be enacted as a standalone act or as a distinct title or division of a broader act.
Pending legislation that this market is intended to capture includes the American Leadership in AI Act (H.R. 8516, 119th Congress) and the Great American Artificial Intelligence Act of 2026 (Obernolte-Trahan discussion draft released June 4, 2026). Whether any legislation qualifies will be determined solely by whether its enacted text satisfies the requirements above, regardless of its title or sponsors.
Legislation that satisfies only one of the two categories above will not qualify. Legislation whose artificial intelligence provisions apply only to a single application, sector, or technology (for example, semiconductor or chip export controls, deepfakes or digital replicas, chatbots or companion applications, data centers or their electricity use, autonomous vehicles, or the funding of a research resource such as the National Artificial Intelligence Research Resource) will not qualify, even if it contains standards, testing, disclosure, or reporting provisions for that application. Legislation that became law before January 1, 2026, including the National Artificial Intelligence Initiative Act of 2020, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Congress.gov's legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 5:06 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**Gridlock over preemption, safety mandates, and federal versus state authority has kept comprehensive AI legislation from advancing despite multiple 2026 proposals.** Bipartisan drafts such as the Great American AI Act and FRONTIER Act cleared House committees this summer but remain stalled short of floor votes, while Senate negotiations on duty-of-care and risk-mitigation rules for frontier models face ongoing partisan divides. The Trump administration’s March 2026 National AI Legislative Framework and related executive orders emphasize voluntary measures and preemption of state rules rather than prescriptive requirements, aligning with industry concerns and reducing urgency for binding statute. With the House departing for midterms and limited legislative days remaining in the 119th Congress, traders see low odds of a single comprehensive framework clearing both chambers and receiving presidential signature before 2028.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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