Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano90-114 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$1,030,071 Wol.
$1,030,071 Wol.
Aug 22, 2026
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
No
90-114
Yes
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
90-114 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$1,030,071 Wol.
$1,030,071 Wol.
Aug 22, 2026
<40
$86,250 Wol.
No
40-64
$95,869 Wol.
No
65-89
$186,085 Wol.
No
90-114
$139,873 Wol.
Yes
115-139
$258,901 Wol.
No
140-164
$150,215 Wol.
No
165-189
$64,248 Wol.
No
190-214
$15,704 Wol.
No
215-239
$14,122 Wol.
No
240+
$18,803 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,030,071Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$1,030,071Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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