Traders assign a 91% implied probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the U.S. economy remains resilient amid a federal funds target range held steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the April FOMC meeting. Recent data show April nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs, unemployment steady near 4.3%, and March CPI at 3.3%, reflecting temporary energy-driven pressures rather than broad instability requiring off-schedule action. Market-implied odds align with analyst forecasts pushing any easing into 2027, supported by a low-hire, low-fire labor equilibrium and GDP growth near 2%. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC and upcoming inflation releases, though a sharp deterioration in geopolitical conditions or labor market data could still introduce volatility.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$105,161 Wol.
$105,161 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$105,161 Wol.
$105,161 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign a 91% implied probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the U.S. economy remains resilient amid a federal funds target range held steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the April FOMC meeting. Recent data show April nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs, unemployment steady near 4.3%, and March CPI at 3.3%, reflecting temporary energy-driven pressures rather than broad instability requiring off-schedule action. Market-implied odds align with analyst forecasts pushing any easing into 2027, supported by a low-hire, low-fire labor equilibrium and GDP growth near 2%. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC and upcoming inflation releases, though a sharp deterioration in geopolitical conditions or labor market data could still introduce volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$105,161Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign a 91% implied probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the U.S. economy remains resilient amid a federal funds target range held steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the April FOMC meeting. Recent data show April nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs, unemployment steady near 4.3%, and March CPI at 3.3%, reflecting temporary energy-driven pressures rather than broad instability requiring off-schedule action. Market-implied odds align with analyst forecasts pushing any easing into 2027, supported by a low-hire, low-fire labor equilibrium and GDP growth near 2%. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC and upcoming inflation releases, though a sharp deterioration in geopolitical conditions or labor market data could still introduce volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Wolumen
$105,161Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 91% implied probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the U.S. economy remains resilient amid a federal funds target range held steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the April FOMC meeting. Recent data show April nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs, unemployment steady near 4.3%, and March CPI at 3.3%, reflecting temporary energy-driven pressures rather than broad instability requiring off-schedule action. Market-implied odds align with analyst forecasts pushing any easing into 2027, supported by a low-hire, low-fire labor equilibrium and GDP growth near 2%. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC and upcoming inflation releases, though a sharp deterioration in geopolitical conditions or labor market data could still introduce volatility.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania