Israeli naval forces have repeatedly intercepted Gaza-bound aid flotillas in international waters, most recently seizing over 20 vessels from the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete on April 29-30, 2026, and detaining activists before they approached Israeli territorial limits. Fresh departures of additional vessels from Turkey and Greece in mid-May 2026 continue the pattern, yet enforcement of the longstanding maritime blockade remains the dominant factor shaping trader consensus around a 63.5% probability of no entry by the May 31 resolution date. Past operations demonstrate that Israeli authorities typically halt such missions far from territorial seas, limiting opportunities for breach despite activist efforts to deliver humanitarian aid amid ongoing Gaza operations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
$150,114 Wol.
$150,114 Wol.
May 31, 2026
$150,114 Wol.
$150,114 Wol.
May 31, 2026
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israeli naval forces have repeatedly intercepted Gaza-bound aid flotillas in international waters, most recently seizing over 20 vessels from the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete on April 29-30, 2026, and detaining activists before they approached Israeli territorial limits. Fresh departures of additional vessels from Turkey and Greece in mid-May 2026 continue the pattern, yet enforcement of the longstanding maritime blockade remains the dominant factor shaping trader consensus around a 63.5% probability of no entry by the May 31 resolution date. Past operations demonstrate that Israeli authorities typically halt such missions far from territorial seas, limiting opportunities for breach despite activist efforts to deliver humanitarian aid amid ongoing Gaza operations.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
Wolumen
$150,114Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israeli naval forces have repeatedly intercepted Gaza-bound aid flotillas in international waters, most recently seizing over 20 vessels from the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete on April 29-30, 2026, and detaining activists before they approached Israeli territorial limits. Fresh departures of additional vessels from Turkey and Greece in mid-May 2026 continue the pattern, yet enforcement of the longstanding maritime blockade remains the dominant factor shaping trader consensus around a 63.5% probability of no entry by the May 31 resolution date. Past operations demonstrate that Israeli authorities typically halt such missions far from territorial seas, limiting opportunities for breach despite activist efforts to deliver humanitarian aid amid ongoing Gaza operations.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$150,114Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli naval forces have repeatedly intercepted Gaza-bound aid flotillas in international waters, most recently seizing over 20 vessels from the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete on April 29-30, 2026, and detaining activists before they approached Israeli territorial limits. Fresh departures of additional vessels from Turkey and Greece in mid-May 2026 continue the pattern, yet enforcement of the longstanding maritime blockade remains the dominant factor shaping trader consensus around a 63.5% probability of no entry by the May 31 resolution date. Past operations demonstrate that Israeli authorities typically halt such missions far from territorial seas, limiting opportunities for breach despite activist efforts to deliver humanitarian aid amid ongoing Gaza operations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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