**Trader consensus has converged on 86-87°F as the definitive outcome for Denver’s highest temperature on August 14, 2026, reflecting the official maximum recorded at the market’s designated station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or a comparable NWS site).** National Weather Service climatological data confirm this peak occurred midday under partly sunny conditions with limited afternoon instability and no significant convective cooling, aligning precisely with the bin while staying below the normal high of 88°F and well under summer extremes. Recent model runs and post-event verification provided the decisive update that eliminated nearby bins. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare station-specific revision, differing measurement protocols, or an unrecorded micro-climate spike—none of which have materialized in official reporting. This skin-in-the-game pricing demonstrates how real-money markets efficiently aggregate verified observational data once the event concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on August 14?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 14?
86-87°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$27,247 Wol.
$27,247 Wol.
Aug 14, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$27,247 Wol.
$27,247 Wol.
Aug 14, 2026
69°F or below
$611 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$781 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$964 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$707 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$2,237 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$2,661 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$3,386 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$3,073 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$4,010 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$5,191 Wol.
Yes
88°F or higher
$3,625 Wol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 86-87°F as the definitive outcome for Denver’s highest temperature on August 14, 2026, reflecting the official maximum recorded at the market’s designated station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or a comparable NWS site).**
National Weather Service climatological data confirm this peak occurred midday under partly sunny conditions with limited afternoon instability and no significant convective cooling, aligning precisely with the bin while staying below the normal high of 88°F and well under summer extremes. Recent model runs and post-event verification provided the decisive update that eliminated nearby bins. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare station-specific revision, differing measurement protocols, or an unrecorded micro-climate spike—none of which have materialized in official reporting. This skin-in-the-game pricing demonstrates how real-money markets efficiently aggregate verified observational data once the event concludes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$27,247Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 86-87°F as the definitive outcome for Denver’s highest temperature on August 14, 2026, reflecting the official maximum recorded at the market’s designated station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or a comparable NWS site).**
National Weather Service climatological data confirm this peak occurred midday under partly sunny conditions with limited afternoon instability and no significant convective cooling, aligning precisely with the bin while staying below the normal high of 88°F and well under summer extremes. Recent model runs and post-event verification provided the decisive update that eliminated nearby bins. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare station-specific revision, differing measurement protocols, or an unrecorded micro-climate spike—none of which have materialized in official reporting. This skin-in-the-game pricing demonstrates how real-money markets efficiently aggregate verified observational data once the event concludes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$27,247Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
**Trader consensus has converged on 86-87°F as the definitive outcome for Denver’s highest temperature on August 14, 2026, reflecting the official maximum recorded at the market’s designated station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or a comparable NWS site).** National Weather Service climatological data confirm this peak occurred midday under partly sunny conditions with limited afternoon instability and no significant convective cooling, aligning precisely with the bin while staying below the normal high of 88°F and well under summer extremes. Recent model runs and post-event verification provided the decisive update that eliminated nearby bins. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare station-specific revision, differing measurement protocols, or an unrecorded micro-climate spike—none of which have materialized in official reporting. This skin-in-the-game pricing demonstrates how real-money markets efficiently aggregate verified observational data once the event concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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