Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Denver on August 14 points to a transitional ridge with downslope flow and strong daytime heating, yet variable cloud cover and possible smoke from regional fires create spread in projected highs. Official normals near 88°F provide context, but current runs cluster daily maxima between the upper 70s and mid-80s, with limited moisture reducing convective cooling and surface temperatures hinging on exact timing of any shortwave passage. This genuine forecast divergence—typical when steering patterns remain weak—explains the near-even market-implied odds across the 76–85°F bins, as traders weigh ensemble spread and upcoming model updates from NOAA before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on August 14?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 14?
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 10%
80-81°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
4%
88°F or higher
2%
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 10%
80-81°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
69°F or below
$12 Wol.
1%
70-71°F
$12 Wol.
1%
72-73°F
$12 Wol.
1%
74-75°F
$12 Wol.
1%
76-77°F
$13 Wol.
4%
78-79°F
$1 Wol.
10%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
9%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
30%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
32%
86-87°F
$7 Wol.
4%
88°F or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Denver on August 14 points to a transitional ridge with downslope flow and strong daytime heating, yet variable cloud cover and possible smoke from regional fires create spread in projected highs. Official normals near 88°F provide context, but current runs cluster daily maxima between the upper 70s and mid-80s, with limited moisture reducing convective cooling and surface temperatures hinging on exact timing of any shortwave passage. This genuine forecast divergence—typical when steering patterns remain weak—explains the near-even market-implied odds across the 76–85°F bins, as traders weigh ensemble spread and upcoming model updates from NOAA before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$69Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Denver on August 14 points to a transitional ridge with downslope flow and strong daytime heating, yet variable cloud cover and possible smoke from regional fires create spread in projected highs. Official normals near 88°F provide context, but current runs cluster daily maxima between the upper 70s and mid-80s, with limited moisture reducing convective cooling and surface temperatures hinging on exact timing of any shortwave passage. This genuine forecast divergence—typical when steering patterns remain weak—explains the near-even market-implied odds across the 76–85°F bins, as traders weigh ensemble spread and upcoming model updates from NOAA before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$69Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Denver on August 14 points to a transitional ridge with downslope flow and strong daytime heating, yet variable cloud cover and possible smoke from regional fires create spread in projected highs. Official normals near 88°F provide context, but current runs cluster daily maxima between the upper 70s and mid-80s, with limited moisture reducing convective cooling and surface temperatures hinging on exact timing of any shortwave passage. This genuine forecast divergence—typical when steering patterns remain weak—explains the near-even market-implied odds across the 76–85°F bins, as traders weigh ensemble spread and upcoming model updates from NOAA before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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