Recent short-range model guidance from GFS and ECMWF places the August 14 maximum in Buenos Aires near 13–15 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge that promotes clear skies, strong nocturnal radiative cooling, and limited northerly warm-air advection. Winter climatology shows average daily highs around 15 °C, with observed values this month fluctuating between 11 °C and 18 °C depending on frontal passages and cloud cover. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 12–18 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise peak, driven by small differences in timing of any weak trough or light precipitation that could suppress or enhance daytime warming. Final resolution will hinge on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, which traders are weighting heavily given the narrow temperature band and proximity to market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 14?
14°C 62%
15°C 27%
16°C 14%
13°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
13%
14°C
53%
15°C
27%
16°C
14%
17°C
6%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 62%
15°C 27%
16°C 14%
13°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
9°C or below
$12 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$12 Wol.
1%
11°C
$0 Wol.
1%
12°C
$29 Wol.
5%
13°C
$0 Wol.
13%
14°C
$0 Wol.
53%
15°C
$0 Wol.
27%
16°C
$0 Wol.
14%
17°C
$3 Wol.
6%
18°C
$44 Wol.
2%
19°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from GFS and ECMWF places the August 14 maximum in Buenos Aires near 13–15 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge that promotes clear skies, strong nocturnal radiative cooling, and limited northerly warm-air advection. Winter climatology shows average daily highs around 15 °C, with observed values this month fluctuating between 11 °C and 18 °C depending on frontal passages and cloud cover. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 12–18 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise peak, driven by small differences in timing of any weak trough or light precipitation that could suppress or enhance daytime warming. Final resolution will hinge on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, which traders are weighting heavily given the narrow temperature band and proximity to market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Wolumen
$100Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from GFS and ECMWF places the August 14 maximum in Buenos Aires near 13–15 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge that promotes clear skies, strong nocturnal radiative cooling, and limited northerly warm-air advection. Winter climatology shows average daily highs around 15 °C, with observed values this month fluctuating between 11 °C and 18 °C depending on frontal passages and cloud cover. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 12–18 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise peak, driven by small differences in timing of any weak trough or light precipitation that could suppress or enhance daytime warming. Final resolution will hinge on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, which traders are weighting heavily given the narrow temperature band and proximity to market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$100Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance from GFS and ECMWF places the August 14 maximum in Buenos Aires near 13–15 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge that promotes clear skies, strong nocturnal radiative cooling, and limited northerly warm-air advection. Winter climatology shows average daily highs around 15 °C, with observed values this month fluctuating between 11 °C and 18 °C depending on frontal passages and cloud cover. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 12–18 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise peak, driven by small differences in timing of any weak trough or light precipitation that could suppress or enhance daytime warming. Final resolution will hinge on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, which traders are weighting heavily given the narrow temperature band and proximity to market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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