Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for early August 2026 shows Denver under a persistent warm ridge, with forecast highs near or above 100°F on August 2—well above the ~90°F daily normal—pushing trader consensus toward the 100–103°F bins. Key drivers include strong solar heating under clear or partly cloudy skies, downslope warming along the Front Range, and limited moisture to moderate daytime peaks. Differentiation between the leading 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes hinges on small forecast spreads in afternoon mixing depth, wind speed, and any late-day convection timing; updated model runs and the official observation from Buckley Space Force Base will resolve the exact maximum. Historical records exceed 103°F in early August, but current conditions favor a narrow range around the century mark.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on August 2?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 2?
100-101°F 39%
102-103°F 39%
98-99°F 16%
96-97°F 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
39%
102-103°F
39%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 39%
102-103°F 39%
98-99°F 16%
96-97°F 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
$771 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$493 Wol.
<1%
94-95°F
$591 Wol.
1%
96-97°F
$610 Wol.
4%
98-99°F
$1,549 Wol.
16%
100-101°F
$742 Wol.
39%
102-103°F
$1,976 Wol.
39%
104-105°F
$587 Wol.
3%
106-107°F
$531 Wol.
<1%
108-109°F
$410 Wol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$424 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for early August 2026 shows Denver under a persistent warm ridge, with forecast highs near or above 100°F on August 2—well above the ~90°F daily normal—pushing trader consensus toward the 100–103°F bins. Key drivers include strong solar heating under clear or partly cloudy skies, downslope warming along the Front Range, and limited moisture to moderate daytime peaks. Differentiation between the leading 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes hinges on small forecast spreads in afternoon mixing depth, wind speed, and any late-day convection timing; updated model runs and the official observation from Buckley Space Force Base will resolve the exact maximum. Historical records exceed 103°F in early August, but current conditions favor a narrow range around the century mark.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,683Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for early August 2026 shows Denver under a persistent warm ridge, with forecast highs near or above 100°F on August 2—well above the ~90°F daily normal—pushing trader consensus toward the 100–103°F bins. Key drivers include strong solar heating under clear or partly cloudy skies, downslope warming along the Front Range, and limited moisture to moderate daytime peaks. Differentiation between the leading 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes hinges on small forecast spreads in afternoon mixing depth, wind speed, and any late-day convection timing; updated model runs and the official observation from Buckley Space Force Base will resolve the exact maximum. Historical records exceed 103°F in early August, but current conditions favor a narrow range around the century mark.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,683Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for early August 2026 shows Denver under a persistent warm ridge, with forecast highs near or above 100°F on August 2—well above the ~90°F daily normal—pushing trader consensus toward the 100–103°F bins. Key drivers include strong solar heating under clear or partly cloudy skies, downslope warming along the Front Range, and limited moisture to moderate daytime peaks. Differentiation between the leading 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes hinges on small forecast spreads in afternoon mixing depth, wind speed, and any late-day convection timing; updated model runs and the official observation from Buckley Space Force Base will resolve the exact maximum. Historical records exceed 103°F in early August, but current conditions favor a narrow range around the century mark.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania