Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Denver will experience strong high-pressure ridging on August 3, with downslope warming and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs near or above 100 °F. Trader consensus favoring the 100–101 °F bin reflects this setup, tempered by modest spread in guidance on exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective initiation that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology shows typical highs around 90–92 °F, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the broader western heat wave. Updated NWS and NOAA model releases over the next 24 hours will refine wind and moisture profiles, directly influencing resolution odds among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on August 3?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 3?
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 32%
102-103°F 19%
96-97°F 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
32%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
2%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 32%
102-103°F 19%
96-97°F 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
91°F or below
$192 Wol.
1%
92-93°F
$72 Wol.
2%
94-95°F
$301 Wol.
2%
96-97°F
$459 Wol.
4%
98-99°F
$274 Wol.
32%
100-101°F
$362 Wol.
41%
102-103°F
$232 Wol.
19%
104-105°F
$40 Wol.
3%
106-107°F
$46 Wol.
2%
108-109°F
$25 Wol.
2%
110°F or higher
$171 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Denver will experience strong high-pressure ridging on August 3, with downslope warming and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs near or above 100 °F. Trader consensus favoring the 100–101 °F bin reflects this setup, tempered by modest spread in guidance on exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective initiation that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology shows typical highs around 90–92 °F, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the broader western heat wave. Updated NWS and NOAA model releases over the next 24 hours will refine wind and moisture profiles, directly influencing resolution odds among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,173Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Denver will experience strong high-pressure ridging on August 3, with downslope warming and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs near or above 100 °F. Trader consensus favoring the 100–101 °F bin reflects this setup, tempered by modest spread in guidance on exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective initiation that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology shows typical highs around 90–92 °F, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the broader western heat wave. Updated NWS and NOAA model releases over the next 24 hours will refine wind and moisture profiles, directly influencing resolution odds among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,173Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Denver will experience strong high-pressure ridging on August 3, with downslope warming and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs near or above 100 °F. Trader consensus favoring the 100–101 °F bin reflects this setup, tempered by modest spread in guidance on exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective initiation that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology shows typical highs around 90–92 °F, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the broader western heat wave. Updated NWS and NOAA model releases over the next 24 hours will refine wind and moisture profiles, directly influencing resolution odds among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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