Recent forecast model runs for Helsinki show maximum temperatures on July 16 clustered between 21–24°C, with ensemble guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicating variable cloud cover and moderate southwesterly flow off the Baltic Sea that limits daytime heating. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities around 22–24°C captures remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential for scattered afternoon showers, which could cap peaks near the lower end of that range. Historical July averages near 21–22°C provide context, but current high-pressure ridging supports modest warming above the climatological baseline. Updated model outputs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Helsinki on July 16?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on July 16?
23°C 35%
24°C 28%
22°C 26%
21°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 16, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
26%
23°C
35%
24°C
28%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 35%
24°C 28%
22°C 26%
21°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 16, 2026
19°C or below
$701 Wol.
1%
20°C
$396 Wol.
2%
21°C
$449 Wol.
7%
22°C
$1,206 Wol.
26%
23°C
$516 Wol.
35%
24°C
$713 Wol.
28%
25°C
$1,388 Wol.
5%
26°C
$214 Wol.
3%
27°C
$106 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$169 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$792 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Helsinki show maximum temperatures on July 16 clustered between 21–24°C, with ensemble guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicating variable cloud cover and moderate southwesterly flow off the Baltic Sea that limits daytime heating. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities around 22–24°C captures remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential for scattered afternoon showers, which could cap peaks near the lower end of that range. Historical July averages near 21–22°C provide context, but current high-pressure ridging supports modest warming above the climatological baseline. Updated model outputs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,566Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Helsinki show maximum temperatures on July 16 clustered between 21–24°C, with ensemble guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicating variable cloud cover and moderate southwesterly flow off the Baltic Sea that limits daytime heating. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities around 22–24°C captures remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential for scattered afternoon showers, which could cap peaks near the lower end of that range. Historical July averages near 21–22°C provide context, but current high-pressure ridging supports modest warming above the climatological baseline. Updated model outputs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,566Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Helsinki show maximum temperatures on July 16 clustered between 21–24°C, with ensemble guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicating variable cloud cover and moderate southwesterly flow off the Baltic Sea that limits daytime heating. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities around 22–24°C captures remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential for scattered afternoon showers, which could cap peaks near the lower end of that range. Historical July averages near 21–22°C provide context, but current high-pressure ridging supports modest warming above the climatological baseline. Updated model outputs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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