Traders see closely matched odds around 25–28°C for Hong Kong’s daily minimum on July 16 because mid-July climatology features high humidity and typical overnight lows near 26–27°C, with limited variation expected absent major weather shifts. Recent model runs show scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could modestly suppress nighttime temperatures toward 25°C or allow clearer skies to hold readings near 27–28°C. Steering flow from the subtropical ridge and any distant tropical activity remain key variables that could alter radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture. With resolution just two days away, the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities reflects ongoing uncertainty in local forecast guidance and the modest historical day-to-day fluctuation in Hong Kong summer minima.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
27°C 39%
26°C 37%
25°C 15%
28°C 10%
NOWE
$13,143 Wol.
NOWE
$13,143 Wol.
Jul 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
15%
26°C
37%
27°C
39%
28°C
10%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
26°C 37%
25°C 15%
28°C 10%
NOWE
$13,143 Wol.
NOWE
$13,143 Wol.
Jul 16, 2026
22°C or below
$1,754 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$234 Wol.
1%
24°C
$348 Wol.
4%
25°C
$185 Wol.
15%
26°C
$3,158 Wol.
37%
27°C
$4,304 Wol.
39%
28°C
$321 Wol.
10%
29°C
$389 Wol.
1%
30°C
$224 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$376 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,851 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see closely matched odds around 25–28°C for Hong Kong’s daily minimum on July 16 because mid-July climatology features high humidity and typical overnight lows near 26–27°C, with limited variation expected absent major weather shifts. Recent model runs show scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could modestly suppress nighttime temperatures toward 25°C or allow clearer skies to hold readings near 27–28°C. Steering flow from the subtropical ridge and any distant tropical activity remain key variables that could alter radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture. With resolution just two days away, the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities reflects ongoing uncertainty in local forecast guidance and the modest historical day-to-day fluctuation in Hong Kong summer minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,143Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see closely matched odds around 25–28°C for Hong Kong’s daily minimum on July 16 because mid-July climatology features high humidity and typical overnight lows near 26–27°C, with limited variation expected absent major weather shifts. Recent model runs show scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could modestly suppress nighttime temperatures toward 25°C or allow clearer skies to hold readings near 27–28°C. Steering flow from the subtropical ridge and any distant tropical activity remain key variables that could alter radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture. With resolution just two days away, the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities reflects ongoing uncertainty in local forecast guidance and the modest historical day-to-day fluctuation in Hong Kong summer minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$13,143Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched odds around 25–28°C for Hong Kong’s daily minimum on July 16 because mid-July climatology features high humidity and typical overnight lows near 26–27°C, with limited variation expected absent major weather shifts. Recent model runs show scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could modestly suppress nighttime temperatures toward 25°C or allow clearer skies to hold readings near 27–28°C. Steering flow from the subtropical ridge and any distant tropical activity remain key variables that could alter radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture. With resolution just two days away, the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities reflects ongoing uncertainty in local forecast guidance and the modest historical day-to-day fluctuation in Hong Kong summer minima.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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