Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on July 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 16?
35°C or higher 35%
34°C 33%
33°C 19%
32°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
9%
33°C
19%
34°C
33%
35°C or higher
35%
35°C or higher 35%
34°C 33%
33°C 19%
32°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
$196 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$201 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$842 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$500 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$579 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$441 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$543 Wol.
2%
32°C
$488 Wol.
9%
33°C
$1,317 Wol.
19%
34°C
$699 Wol.
33%
35°C or higher
$2,118 Wol.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 14, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,925Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,925Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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