Recent KMA and international model runs indicate Seoul's July 16 minimum temperature—defined as the lowest reading between 3–9 a.m. local time—will likely fall in the 22–24°C range amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. The market's leading 19°C-or-below bracket at 38% implied probability reflects trader emphasis on potential overnight cooling from increased precipitation chances and recent cooler analogs, such as the confirmed 22°C low on July 7. Updated short-range forecasts showing highs near 31–33°C and variable steering patterns support the clustered probabilities around 21–23°C, while historical July baselines near 21–23°C provide climatological context for the uncertainty. New KMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on July 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 16?
23°C 40%
24°C 39%
22°C 13%
25°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
40%
24°C
39%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 40%
24°C 39%
22°C 13%
25°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 16, 2026
19°C or below
$820 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$212 Wol.
2%
21°C
$38 Wol.
5%
22°C
$37 Wol.
13%
23°C
$3,342 Wol.
40%
24°C
$131 Wol.
39%
25°C
$56 Wol.
9%
26°C
$46 Wol.
3%
27°C
$222 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$442 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$397 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and international model runs indicate Seoul's July 16 minimum temperature—defined as the lowest reading between 3–9 a.m. local time—will likely fall in the 22–24°C range amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. The market's leading 19°C-or-below bracket at 38% implied probability reflects trader emphasis on potential overnight cooling from increased precipitation chances and recent cooler analogs, such as the confirmed 22°C low on July 7. Updated short-range forecasts showing highs near 31–33°C and variable steering patterns support the clustered probabilities around 21–23°C, while historical July baselines near 21–23°C provide climatological context for the uncertainty. New KMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,744Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and international model runs indicate Seoul's July 16 minimum temperature—defined as the lowest reading between 3–9 a.m. local time—will likely fall in the 22–24°C range amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. The market's leading 19°C-or-below bracket at 38% implied probability reflects trader emphasis on potential overnight cooling from increased precipitation chances and recent cooler analogs, such as the confirmed 22°C low on July 7. Updated short-range forecasts showing highs near 31–33°C and variable steering patterns support the clustered probabilities around 21–23°C, while historical July baselines near 21–23°C provide climatological context for the uncertainty. New KMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,744Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA and international model runs indicate Seoul's July 16 minimum temperature—defined as the lowest reading between 3–9 a.m. local time—will likely fall in the 22–24°C range amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. The market's leading 19°C-or-below bracket at 38% implied probability reflects trader emphasis on potential overnight cooling from increased precipitation chances and recent cooler analogs, such as the confirmed 22°C low on July 7. Updated short-range forecasts showing highs near 31–33°C and variable steering patterns support the clustered probabilities around 21–23°C, while historical July baselines near 21–23°C provide climatological context for the uncertainty. New KMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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