Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements for August 14, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 30°C at the headquarters station, confirming the market resolution after the date passed. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave conditions, as showers and increased cloud cover from regional weather patterns moderated temperatures following a prolonged stretch of readings at or above 33°C. Forecasters had projected a range of 27–31°C that day, consistent with typical August variability under weakening monsoon influences. Trader consensus reflects the finality of verified observational data rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post-event revision to the official record—highly improbable given standardized instrumentation and quality controls—could alter the result.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$237,542 Wol.
$237,542 Wol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$237,542 Wol.
$237,542 Wol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements for August 14, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 30°C at the headquarters station, confirming the market resolution after the date passed. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave conditions, as showers and increased cloud cover from regional weather patterns moderated temperatures following a prolonged stretch of readings at or above 33°C. Forecasters had projected a range of 27–31°C that day, consistent with typical August variability under weakening monsoon influences. Trader consensus reflects the finality of verified observational data rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post-event revision to the official record—highly improbable given standardized instrumentation and quality controls—could alter the result.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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