Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 32–33°C on July 5 under the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–34°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential from convective activity and high humidity, while the modest probabilities for 35°C+ reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages near 31–32°C, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon-enhanced rainfall and urban heat island effects can shift outcomes by 1–2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on July 5?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 5?
34°C 37%
33°C 34%
35°C 14%
32°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
34%
34°C
37%
35°C
14%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 37%
33°C 34%
35°C 14%
32°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 5, 2026
27°C or below
$637 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$110 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$77 Wol.
1%
30°C
$424 Wol.
1%
31°C
$569 Wol.
1%
32°C
$402 Wol.
7%
33°C
$919 Wol.
34%
34°C
$201 Wol.
37%
35°C
$78 Wol.
14%
36°C
$78 Wol.
4%
37°C or higher
$272 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 32–33°C on July 5 under the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–34°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential from convective activity and high humidity, while the modest probabilities for 35°C+ reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages near 31–32°C, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon-enhanced rainfall and urban heat island effects can shift outcomes by 1–2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,767Data zakończenia
Jul 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 32–33°C on July 5 under the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–34°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential from convective activity and high humidity, while the modest probabilities for 35°C+ reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages near 31–32°C, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon-enhanced rainfall and urban heat island effects can shift outcomes by 1–2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,767Data zakończenia
Jul 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 32–33°C on July 5 under the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–34°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential from convective activity and high humidity, while the modest probabilities for 35°C+ reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages near 31–32°C, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon-enhanced rainfall and urban heat island effects can shift outcomes by 1–2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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