Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers for Tokyo on July 5, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 20–22°C. This aligns closely with early-July climatological lows of roughly 22–23°C while reflecting the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Key differentiating factors among the tightly clustered market outcomes (21–23°C at ~35–36% each) include variable shower timing, which could enhance evaporative cooling or trap heat via increased humidity, plus urban heat-island effects and light wind patterns that modulate overnight temperature drops. Model consensus remains modest given the two-day horizon, with any shift in cloud cover or precipitation intensity likely to tip probabilities between these adjacent bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 5?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 5?
22°C 54%
23°C 34%
21°C 10%
24°C 4.5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 5, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
10%
22°C
54%
23°C
34%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 54%
23°C 34%
21°C 10%
24°C 4.5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 5, 2026
17°C or below
$221 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$259 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$379 Wol.
2%
20°C
$231 Wol.
1%
21°C
$291 Wol.
10%
22°C
$1,783 Wol.
54%
23°C
$308 Wol.
34%
24°C
$496 Wol.
4%
25°C
$238 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$301 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$185 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers for Tokyo on July 5, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 20–22°C. This aligns closely with early-July climatological lows of roughly 22–23°C while reflecting the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Key differentiating factors among the tightly clustered market outcomes (21–23°C at ~35–36% each) include variable shower timing, which could enhance evaporative cooling or trap heat via increased humidity, plus urban heat-island effects and light wind patterns that modulate overnight temperature drops. Model consensus remains modest given the two-day horizon, with any shift in cloud cover or precipitation intensity likely to tip probabilities between these adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,694Data zakończenia
Jul 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers for Tokyo on July 5, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 20–22°C. This aligns closely with early-July climatological lows of roughly 22–23°C while reflecting the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Key differentiating factors among the tightly clustered market outcomes (21–23°C at ~35–36% each) include variable shower timing, which could enhance evaporative cooling or trap heat via increased humidity, plus urban heat-island effects and light wind patterns that modulate overnight temperature drops. Model consensus remains modest given the two-day horizon, with any shift in cloud cover or precipitation intensity likely to tip probabilities between these adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,694Data zakończenia
Jul 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers for Tokyo on July 5, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 20–22°C. This aligns closely with early-July climatological lows of roughly 22–23°C while reflecting the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Key differentiating factors among the tightly clustered market outcomes (21–23°C at ~35–36% each) include variable shower timing, which could enhance evaporative cooling or trap heat via increased humidity, plus urban heat-island effects and light wind patterns that modulate overnight temperature drops. Model consensus remains modest given the two-day horizon, with any shift in cloud cover or precipitation intensity likely to tip probabilities between these adjacent bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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