Trader sentiment for Qingdao’s July 5 peak temperature reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty, with probabilities spread across 31–35°C outcomes driven by the city’s coastal location on the Yellow Sea. Onshore sea breezes and marine layer effects frequently moderate maximums below inland expectations, while variable monsoon moisture, cloud cover, and potential late-day thundershowers can either suppress or allow brief spikes depending on steering winds and timing. Ensemble models show a plausible range from the mid-20s to low-30s Celsius, with historical July highs averaging near 27–28°C but daily variability reaching 31°C or higher under clear, subsiding conditions. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official station readings, where even small shifts in wind direction or precipitation timing could tip the result by a degree or more.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 5?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 5?
32°C 32%
33°C 29%
34°C 17%
31°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 5, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
12%
32°C
32%
33°C
29%
34°C
17%
35°C or higher
4%
32°C 32%
33°C 29%
34°C 17%
31°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 5, 2026
25°C or below
$49 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$45 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$241 Wol.
1%
28°C
$42 Wol.
1%
29°C
$221 Wol.
3%
30°C
$45 Wol.
5%
31°C
$333 Wol.
12%
32°C
$1,794 Wol.
32%
33°C
$23 Wol.
29%
34°C
$367 Wol.
17%
35°C or higher
$6 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Qingdao’s July 5 peak temperature reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty, with probabilities spread across 31–35°C outcomes driven by the city’s coastal location on the Yellow Sea. Onshore sea breezes and marine layer effects frequently moderate maximums below inland expectations, while variable monsoon moisture, cloud cover, and potential late-day thundershowers can either suppress or allow brief spikes depending on steering winds and timing. Ensemble models show a plausible range from the mid-20s to low-30s Celsius, with historical July highs averaging near 27–28°C but daily variability reaching 31°C or higher under clear, subsiding conditions. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official station readings, where even small shifts in wind direction or precipitation timing could tip the result by a degree or more.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,166Data zakończenia
Jul 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Qingdao’s July 5 peak temperature reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty, with probabilities spread across 31–35°C outcomes driven by the city’s coastal location on the Yellow Sea. Onshore sea breezes and marine layer effects frequently moderate maximums below inland expectations, while variable monsoon moisture, cloud cover, and potential late-day thundershowers can either suppress or allow brief spikes depending on steering winds and timing. Ensemble models show a plausible range from the mid-20s to low-30s Celsius, with historical July highs averaging near 27–28°C but daily variability reaching 31°C or higher under clear, subsiding conditions. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official station readings, where even small shifts in wind direction or precipitation timing could tip the result by a degree or more.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,166Data zakończenia
Jul 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Qingdao’s July 5 peak temperature reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty, with probabilities spread across 31–35°C outcomes driven by the city’s coastal location on the Yellow Sea. Onshore sea breezes and marine layer effects frequently moderate maximums below inland expectations, while variable monsoon moisture, cloud cover, and potential late-day thundershowers can either suppress or allow brief spikes depending on steering winds and timing. Ensemble models show a plausible range from the mid-20s to low-30s Celsius, with historical July highs averaging near 27–28°C but daily variability reaching 31°C or higher under clear, subsiding conditions. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official station readings, where even small shifts in wind direction or precipitation timing could tip the result by a degree or more.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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