Recent short-range model guidance from European forecasting centers indicates a mostly stable high-pressure pattern over southern Germany through July 24, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Munich centered on 23–25 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with slight differences arising from the timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover or light northerly flow. Historical July climatology for the city shows mean highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns closely with current runs. Because the leading market outcomes sit within a 3 °C window, traders appear focused on the precise resolution of the official DWD measurement rather than larger-scale shifts, with new model updates and observational data expected to narrow the spread ahead of the observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on July 24?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 24?
25°C 44%
24°C 26%
26°C 21%
23°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 24, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
26%
25°C
44%
26°C
21%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 44%
24°C 26%
26°C 21%
23°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 24, 2026
20°C or below
$75 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$101 Wol.
1%
22°C
$202 Wol.
2%
23°C
$59 Wol.
8%
24°C
$137 Wol.
26%
25°C
$186 Wol.
44%
26°C
$75 Wol.
21%
27°C
$118 Wol.
3%
28°C
$131 Wol.
1%
29°C
$109 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$49 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from European forecasting centers indicates a mostly stable high-pressure pattern over southern Germany through July 24, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Munich centered on 23–25 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with slight differences arising from the timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover or light northerly flow. Historical July climatology for the city shows mean highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns closely with current runs. Because the leading market outcomes sit within a 3 °C window, traders appear focused on the precise resolution of the official DWD measurement rather than larger-scale shifts, with new model updates and observational data expected to narrow the spread ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,241Data zakończenia
Jul 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from European forecasting centers indicates a mostly stable high-pressure pattern over southern Germany through July 24, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Munich centered on 23–25 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with slight differences arising from the timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover or light northerly flow. Historical July climatology for the city shows mean highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns closely with current runs. Because the leading market outcomes sit within a 3 °C window, traders appear focused on the precise resolution of the official DWD measurement rather than larger-scale shifts, with new model updates and observational data expected to narrow the spread ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,241Data zakończenia
Jul 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance from European forecasting centers indicates a mostly stable high-pressure pattern over southern Germany through July 24, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Munich centered on 23–25 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with slight differences arising from the timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover or light northerly flow. Historical July climatology for the city shows mean highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns closely with current runs. Because the leading market outcomes sit within a 3 °C window, traders appear focused on the precise resolution of the official DWD measurement rather than larger-scale shifts, with new model updates and observational data expected to narrow the spread ahead of the observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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