Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like Météo-France highlight a dominant high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection over western Europe, driving ensemble model consensus toward a daytime maximum near 39°C in Paris on August 14. Persistent soil-moisture deficits from the ongoing heat wave further amplify surface heating, with tight clustering in numerical weather prediction runs supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 39°C as the official high. Historical August baselines around 25–28°C underscore the anomaly, though resolution hinges on standardized observations at Paris-Montsouris. Minor shifts in cloud cover, localized convection, or slight model adjustments could still allow 38°C or 40°C outcomes if boundary-layer mixing evolves differently than projected.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 14?
39°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$105,536 Wol.
$105,536 Wol.
Aug 14, 2026
35°C or below
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$105,536 Wol.
$105,536 Wol.
Aug 14, 2026
35°C or below
$4,507 Wol.
No
36°C
$3,421 Wol.
No
37°C
$14,256 Wol.
No
38°C
$29,413 Wol.
No
39°C
$19,653 Wol.
Yes
40°C
$15,362 Wol.
No
41°C
$7,464 Wol.
No
42°C
$3,929 Wol.
No
43°C
$3,060 Wol.
No
44°C
$4,023 Wol.
No
45°C or higher
$447 Wol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like Météo-France highlight a dominant high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection over western Europe, driving ensemble model consensus toward a daytime maximum near 39°C in Paris on August 14. Persistent soil-moisture deficits from the ongoing heat wave further amplify surface heating, with tight clustering in numerical weather prediction runs supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 39°C as the official high. Historical August baselines around 25–28°C underscore the anomaly, though resolution hinges on standardized observations at Paris-Montsouris. Minor shifts in cloud cover, localized convection, or slight model adjustments could still allow 38°C or 40°C outcomes if boundary-layer mixing evolves differently than projected.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$105,536Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like Météo-France highlight a dominant high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection over western Europe, driving ensemble model consensus toward a daytime maximum near 39°C in Paris on August 14. Persistent soil-moisture deficits from the ongoing heat wave further amplify surface heating, with tight clustering in numerical weather prediction runs supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 39°C as the official high. Historical August baselines around 25–28°C underscore the anomaly, though resolution hinges on standardized observations at Paris-Montsouris. Minor shifts in cloud cover, localized convection, or slight model adjustments could still allow 38°C or 40°C outcomes if boundary-layer mixing evolves differently than projected.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$105,536Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like Météo-France highlight a dominant high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection over western Europe, driving ensemble model consensus toward a daytime maximum near 39°C in Paris on August 14. Persistent soil-moisture deficits from the ongoing heat wave further amplify surface heating, with tight clustering in numerical weather prediction runs supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 39°C as the official high. Historical August baselines around 25–28°C underscore the anomaly, though resolution hinges on standardized observations at Paris-Montsouris. Minor shifts in cloud cover, localized convection, or slight model adjustments could still allow 38°C or 40°C outcomes if boundary-layer mixing evolves differently than projected.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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