Qingdao’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea introduces significant variability in daily highs through persistent sea breezes and marine layer effects that cap afternoon warming. Recent days have featured widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate easterly flow, holding observed maxima near 26–27 °C and aligning with the market’s slight edge for a 27 °C peak on July 13. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by uncertainties in convective timing and the strength of any onshore surge; stronger insolation or delayed rain could push readings toward 29 °C, while persistent overcast or earlier precipitation favors 26 °C or lower. Historical July climatology centers around 27–28 °C, but the narrow 1–2 °C bins remain sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and low-level wind until 24–48 hours before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 13?
27°C 29%
29°C 18%
25°C 17%
28°C 15%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
17%
26°C
10%
27°C
29%
28°C
15%
29°C
18%
30°C
6%
31°C
5%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 29%
29°C 18%
25°C 17%
28°C 15%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
17%
26°C
10%
27°C
29%
28°C
15%
29°C
18%
30°C
6%
31°C
5%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Qingdao’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea introduces significant variability in daily highs through persistent sea breezes and marine layer effects that cap afternoon warming. Recent days have featured widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate easterly flow, holding observed maxima near 26–27 °C and aligning with the market’s slight edge for a 27 °C peak on July 13. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by uncertainties in convective timing and the strength of any onshore surge; stronger insolation or delayed rain could push readings toward 29 °C, while persistent overcast or earlier precipitation favors 26 °C or lower. Historical July climatology centers around 27–28 °C, but the narrow 1–2 °C bins remain sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and low-level wind until 24–48 hours before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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