Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight low near 18°C for London on July 13 amid a lingering warm spell, with model runs showing modest variability from clear-sky radiative cooling versus increased cloud or breeze. This places typical July climatological minima (around 14–16°C) and current guidance in a tight range, driving near-even market-implied odds clustered on 13–19°C outcomes. Traders weigh ensemble spread, urban heat-island effects, and any last-model updates expected before resolution, with uncertainty highest around the exact minimum threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on July 13?
Lowest temperature in London on July 13?
16°C 40%
15°C 36%
13°C 35%
14°C 35%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 13, 2026
12°C or below
28%
13°C
35%
14°C
35%
15°C
36%
16°C
40%
17°C
21%
18°C
35%
19°C
35%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
16°C 40%
15°C 36%
13°C 35%
14°C 35%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 13, 2026
12°C or below
$27 Wol.
28%
13°C
$0 Wol.
35%
14°C
$0 Wol.
35%
15°C
$0 Wol.
36%
16°C
$0 Wol.
40%
17°C
$0 Wol.
21%
18°C
$0 Wol.
35%
19°C
$0 Wol.
35%
20°C
$27 Wol.
1%
21°C
$27 Wol.
1%
22°C or higher
$27 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight low near 18°C for London on July 13 amid a lingering warm spell, with model runs showing modest variability from clear-sky radiative cooling versus increased cloud or breeze. This places typical July climatological minima (around 14–16°C) and current guidance in a tight range, driving near-even market-implied odds clustered on 13–19°C outcomes. Traders weigh ensemble spread, urban heat-island effects, and any last-model updates expected before resolution, with uncertainty highest around the exact minimum threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$107Data zakończenia
Jul 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight low near 18°C for London on July 13 amid a lingering warm spell, with model runs showing modest variability from clear-sky radiative cooling versus increased cloud or breeze. This places typical July climatological minima (around 14–16°C) and current guidance in a tight range, driving near-even market-implied odds clustered on 13–19°C outcomes. Traders weigh ensemble spread, urban heat-island effects, and any last-model updates expected before resolution, with uncertainty highest around the exact minimum threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$107Data zakończenia
Jul 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight low near 18°C for London on July 13 amid a lingering warm spell, with model runs showing modest variability from clear-sky radiative cooling versus increased cloud or breeze. This places typical July climatological minima (around 14–16°C) and current guidance in a tight range, driving near-even market-implied odds clustered on 13–19°C outcomes. Traders weigh ensemble spread, urban heat-island effects, and any last-model updates expected before resolution, with uncertainty highest around the exact minimum threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania