Short-term ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 7 most likely reaching 28–29°C, with the 40.5% market-implied probability on 29°C reflecting modest warming under a developing ridge and light southerly flow. The near-even split with 28°C at 34.5% highlights remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, as recent model runs show small spread around these values rather than a clear trend toward 30°C or higher. Historical September climatology for the region centers near 26–27°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the synoptic pattern. Traders will watch the next KMA update and 00Z–12Z model cycles for any shift in maximum-temperature guidance before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 7?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 7?
29°C 41%
28°C 33%
30°C 12%
27°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
33%
29°C
41%
30°C
12%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 41%
28°C 33%
30°C 12%
27°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
$230 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$117 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$63 Wol.
1%
25°C
$0 Wol.
3%
26°C
$0 Wol.
4%
27°C
$50 Wol.
8%
28°C
$150 Wol.
33%
29°C
$284 Wol.
41%
30°C
$0 Wol.
12%
31°C
$90 Wol.
7%
32°C or higher
$62 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 7 most likely reaching 28–29°C, with the 40.5% market-implied probability on 29°C reflecting modest warming under a developing ridge and light southerly flow. The near-even split with 28°C at 34.5% highlights remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, as recent model runs show small spread around these values rather than a clear trend toward 30°C or higher. Historical September climatology for the region centers near 26–27°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the synoptic pattern. Traders will watch the next KMA update and 00Z–12Z model cycles for any shift in maximum-temperature guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,045Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 7 most likely reaching 28–29°C, with the 40.5% market-implied probability on 29°C reflecting modest warming under a developing ridge and light southerly flow. The near-even split with 28°C at 34.5% highlights remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, as recent model runs show small spread around these values rather than a clear trend toward 30°C or higher. Historical September climatology for the region centers near 26–27°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the synoptic pattern. Traders will watch the next KMA update and 00Z–12Z model cycles for any shift in maximum-temperature guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,045Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Short-term ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 7 most likely reaching 28–29°C, with the 40.5% market-implied probability on 29°C reflecting modest warming under a developing ridge and light southerly flow. The near-even split with 28°C at 34.5% highlights remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, as recent model runs show small spread around these values rather than a clear trend toward 30°C or higher. Historical September climatology for the region centers near 26–27°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the synoptic pattern. Traders will watch the next KMA update and 00Z–12Z model cycles for any shift in maximum-temperature guidance before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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