Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to Shanghai highs of 36–38°C on July 15 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies and southerly flow, sustaining the current early-July heat pattern. Minor probability spreads among these outcomes reflect small uncertainties in afternoon convective timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized sea-breeze effects that could shave or add 1°C. Historical mid-July climatology shows typical maxima near 33°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge’s position; updated 48-hour runs and official bulletins will refine whether peak readings reach the upper or lower edge of that narrow range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 15?
37°C 35%
38°C 30%
36°C 19%
39°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 15, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
6%
36°C
19%
37°C
35%
38°C
30%
39°C
12%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 35%
38°C 30%
36°C 19%
39°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 15, 2026
32°C or below
$222 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$193 Wol.
1%
34°C
$734 Wol.
2%
35°C
$424 Wol.
6%
36°C
$659 Wol.
19%
37°C
$552 Wol.
35%
38°C
$489 Wol.
30%
39°C
$252 Wol.
12%
40°C
$452 Wol.
2%
41°C
$552 Wol.
1%
42°C or higher
$565 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to Shanghai highs of 36–38°C on July 15 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies and southerly flow, sustaining the current early-July heat pattern. Minor probability spreads among these outcomes reflect small uncertainties in afternoon convective timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized sea-breeze effects that could shave or add 1°C. Historical mid-July climatology shows typical maxima near 33°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge’s position; updated 48-hour runs and official bulletins will refine whether peak readings reach the upper or lower edge of that narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,093Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to Shanghai highs of 36–38°C on July 15 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies and southerly flow, sustaining the current early-July heat pattern. Minor probability spreads among these outcomes reflect small uncertainties in afternoon convective timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized sea-breeze effects that could shave or add 1°C. Historical mid-July climatology shows typical maxima near 33°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge’s position; updated 48-hour runs and official bulletins will refine whether peak readings reach the upper or lower edge of that narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,093Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to Shanghai highs of 36–38°C on July 15 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies and southerly flow, sustaining the current early-July heat pattern. Minor probability spreads among these outcomes reflect small uncertainties in afternoon convective timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized sea-breeze effects that could shave or add 1°C. Historical mid-July climatology shows typical maxima near 33°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge’s position; updated 48-hour runs and official bulletins will refine whether peak readings reach the upper or lower edge of that narrow range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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