Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15+ second handshake at 55.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14–15, 2026—their first in-person meeting since October 2025—driven by historical precedent of extended grips, such as 27–30 seconds during past Asia summits that signaled rapport amid tense trade talks. Recent developments, including Trump's arrival yesterday and his public praise of a "great relationship" with Xi ahead of discussions on trade, fentanyl, and Iran, reinforce expectations of a firm diplomatic greeting during the scheduled bilateral photo op and working lunch. Shorter durations trail due to protocol norms for high-stakes US-China state visits, with no-handshake odds below 3% reflecting low risk of snub in this controlled setting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano15s+ 57%
10–15s 22%
6–10s 16%
2–6s 7.8%
$272,512 Wol.
$272,512 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
No Handshake
2%
<2s
1%
2–6s
8%
6–10s
16%
10–15s
22%
15s+
57%
Photographed only
1%
15s+ 57%
10–15s 22%
6–10s 16%
2–6s 7.8%
$272,512 Wol.
$272,512 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
No Handshake
$54,849 Wol.
2%
<2s
$41,755 Wol.
1%
2–6s
$42,569 Wol.
8%
6–10s
$20,671 Wol.
16%
10–15s
$20,868 Wol.
22%
15s+
$50,067 Wol.
57%
Photographed only
$42,219 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15+ second handshake at 55.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14–15, 2026—their first in-person meeting since October 2025—driven by historical precedent of extended grips, such as 27–30 seconds during past Asia summits that signaled rapport amid tense trade talks. Recent developments, including Trump's arrival yesterday and his public praise of a "great relationship" with Xi ahead of discussions on trade, fentanyl, and Iran, reinforce expectations of a firm diplomatic greeting during the scheduled bilateral photo op and working lunch. Shorter durations trail due to protocol norms for high-stakes US-China state visits, with no-handshake odds below 3% reflecting low risk of snub in this controlled setting.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Wolumen
$272,512Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15+ second handshake at 55.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14–15, 2026—their first in-person meeting since October 2025—driven by historical precedent of extended grips, such as 27–30 seconds during past Asia summits that signaled rapport amid tense trade talks. Recent developments, including Trump's arrival yesterday and his public praise of a "great relationship" with Xi ahead of discussions on trade, fentanyl, and Iran, reinforce expectations of a firm diplomatic greeting during the scheduled bilateral photo op and working lunch. Shorter durations trail due to protocol norms for high-stakes US-China state visits, with no-handshake odds below 3% reflecting low risk of snub in this controlled setting.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Wolumen
$272,512Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15+ second handshake at 55.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14–15, 2026—their first in-person meeting since October 2025—driven by historical precedent of extended grips, such as 27–30 seconds during past Asia summits that signaled rapport amid tense trade talks. Recent developments, including Trump's arrival yesterday and his public praise of a "great relationship" with Xi ahead of discussions on trade, fentanyl, and Iran, reinforce expectations of a firm diplomatic greeting during the scheduled bilateral photo op and working lunch. Shorter durations trail due to protocol norms for high-stakes US-China state visits, with no-handshake odds below 3% reflecting low risk of snub in this controlled setting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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