President Trump has arrived in Beijing ahead of a high-stakes bilateral summit with President Xi Jinping scheduled for May 14, including a 10:15 a.m. meeting and state banquet, driving trader consensus toward extended handshakes as a diplomatic signal of stable U.S.-China ties amid Iran tensions and trade discussions. Recent developments, such as advance U.S. delegations featuring Elon Musk, Marco Rubio, and tech CEOs already on site, alongside Trump's prior remarks on a warm reception from Xi, bolster expectations for prolonged gestures like the 55% implied probability on 15+ seconds, echoing historical leader handshakes at summits. Shorter durations trail as markets price in mutual interest in projecting amity before key negotiations on technology, tariffs, and global security.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano15s+ 57%
10–15s 24%
6–10s 15%
2–6s 3.0%
$255,285 Wol.
$255,285 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
No Handshake
1%
<2s
1%
2–6s
3%
6–10s
15%
10–15s
24%
15s+
57%
Photographed only
2%
15s+ 57%
10–15s 24%
6–10s 15%
2–6s 3.0%
$255,285 Wol.
$255,285 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
No Handshake
$49,303 Wol.
1%
<2s
$40,477 Wol.
1%
2–6s
$39,537 Wol.
3%
6–10s
$19,619 Wol.
15%
10–15s
$19,674 Wol.
24%
15s+
$47,326 Wol.
57%
Photographed only
$41,025 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.President Trump has arrived in Beijing ahead of a high-stakes bilateral summit with President Xi Jinping scheduled for May 14, including a 10:15 a.m. meeting and state banquet, driving trader consensus toward extended handshakes as a diplomatic signal of stable U.S.-China ties amid Iran tensions and trade discussions. Recent developments, such as advance U.S. delegations featuring Elon Musk, Marco Rubio, and tech CEOs already on site, alongside Trump's prior remarks on a warm reception from Xi, bolster expectations for prolonged gestures like the 55% implied probability on 15+ seconds, echoing historical leader handshakes at summits. Shorter durations trail as markets price in mutual interest in projecting amity before key negotiations on technology, tariffs, and global security.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Wolumen
$255,285Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.President Trump has arrived in Beijing ahead of a high-stakes bilateral summit with President Xi Jinping scheduled for May 14, including a 10:15 a.m. meeting and state banquet, driving trader consensus toward extended handshakes as a diplomatic signal of stable U.S.-China ties amid Iran tensions and trade discussions. Recent developments, such as advance U.S. delegations featuring Elon Musk, Marco Rubio, and tech CEOs already on site, alongside Trump's prior remarks on a warm reception from Xi, bolster expectations for prolonged gestures like the 55% implied probability on 15+ seconds, echoing historical leader handshakes at summits. Shorter durations trail as markets price in mutual interest in projecting amity before key negotiations on technology, tariffs, and global security.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Wolumen
$255,285Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...President Trump has arrived in Beijing ahead of a high-stakes bilateral summit with President Xi Jinping scheduled for May 14, including a 10:15 a.m. meeting and state banquet, driving trader consensus toward extended handshakes as a diplomatic signal of stable U.S.-China ties amid Iran tensions and trade discussions. Recent developments, such as advance U.S. delegations featuring Elon Musk, Marco Rubio, and tech CEOs already on site, alongside Trump's prior remarks on a warm reception from Xi, bolster expectations for prolonged gestures like the 55% implied probability on 15+ seconds, echoing historical leader handshakes at summits. Shorter durations trail as markets price in mutual interest in projecting amity before key negotiations on technology, tariffs, and global security.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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