Trump's approval rating has trended downward throughout his second term, reaching recent lows near 33-36% approve in multiple August 2026 polls amid a net approval of roughly -20 to -27. The primary recent driver is the administration's resumption of strikes on Iran in mid-July, which triggered an ongoing cycle of conflict and raised public concerns about prolonged U.S. involvement, energy prices, and crisis management. Persistent dissatisfaction with inflation, the cost of living, and gasoline prices has compounded the decline. With the November 2026 midterms approaching, further shifts in these issue areas or escalation in foreign policy could continue to pressure ratings before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$111,820 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
35%
32%
30%
6%
25%
6%
20%
2%
$111,820 Wol.
35%
$75,316 Wol.
32%
30%
$9,725 Wol.
6%
25%
$4,061 Wol.
6%
20%
$3,217 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's approval rating has trended downward throughout his second term, reaching recent lows near 33-36% approve in multiple August 2026 polls amid a net approval of roughly -20 to -27. The primary recent driver is the administration's resumption of strikes on Iran in mid-July, which triggered an ongoing cycle of conflict and raised public concerns about prolonged U.S. involvement, energy prices, and crisis management. Persistent dissatisfaction with inflation, the cost of living, and gasoline prices has compounded the decline. With the November 2026 midterms approaching, further shifts in these issue areas or escalation in foreign policy could continue to pressure ratings before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$111,820Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's approval rating has trended downward throughout his second term, reaching recent lows near 33-36% approve in multiple August 2026 polls amid a net approval of roughly -20 to -27. The primary recent driver is the administration's resumption of strikes on Iran in mid-July, which triggered an ongoing cycle of conflict and raised public concerns about prolonged U.S. involvement, energy prices, and crisis management. Persistent dissatisfaction with inflation, the cost of living, and gasoline prices has compounded the decline. With the November 2026 midterms approaching, further shifts in these issue areas or escalation in foreign policy could continue to pressure ratings before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Wolumen
$111,820Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's approval rating has trended downward throughout his second term, reaching recent lows near 33-36% approve in multiple August 2026 polls amid a net approval of roughly -20 to -27. The primary recent driver is the administration's resumption of strikes on Iran in mid-July, which triggered an ongoing cycle of conflict and raised public concerns about prolonged U.S. involvement, energy prices, and crisis management. Persistent dissatisfaction with inflation, the cost of living, and gasoline prices has compounded the decline. With the November 2026 midterms approaching, further shifts in these issue areas or escalation in foreign policy could continue to pressure ratings before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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