Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 bracket for finalized Trump Gold Card approvals in 2026 because the program, established by Executive Order 14351 in September 2025 and opened for applications in December, has produced only one confirmed approval through mid-2026 despite hundreds of submissions. Commerce Department and DHS data show roughly 338 applications and 165 processing fees paid as of late spring, with persistent delays in adjudication rules, national security vetting, and visa availability caps. Ongoing federal litigation challenging the executive authority to create an expedited pay-to-play pathway under existing EB-1 and EB-2 categories has added procedural uncertainty. These factors have kept actual issuances far below early projections, sustaining the market's low-volume pricing for the remainder of the calendar year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano1-100 76.2%
>100k 4.9%
101-1k 3.6%
25k-100k 1.8%
$293,223 Wol.
$293,223 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
66%
101-1k
4%
1k-2.5k
<1%
2.5k-5k
<1%
5k-10k
2%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
2%
>100k
5%
1-100 76.2%
>100k 4.9%
101-1k 3.6%
25k-100k 1.8%
$293,223 Wol.
$293,223 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
$18,522 Wol.
66%
101-1k
$41,423 Wol.
4%
1k-2.5k
$11,324 Wol.
<1%
2.5k-5k
$11,094 Wol.
<1%
5k-10k
$11,989 Wol.
2%
10k-25k
$116,872 Wol.
2%
25k-100k
$11,454 Wol.
2%
>100k
$26,118 Wol.
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 bracket for finalized Trump Gold Card approvals in 2026 because the program, established by Executive Order 14351 in September 2025 and opened for applications in December, has produced only one confirmed approval through mid-2026 despite hundreds of submissions. Commerce Department and DHS data show roughly 338 applications and 165 processing fees paid as of late spring, with persistent delays in adjudication rules, national security vetting, and visa availability caps. Ongoing federal litigation challenging the executive authority to create an expedited pay-to-play pathway under existing EB-1 and EB-2 categories has added procedural uncertainty. These factors have kept actual issuances far below early projections, sustaining the market's low-volume pricing for the remainder of the calendar year.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Wolumen
$293,223Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 bracket for finalized Trump Gold Card approvals in 2026 because the program, established by Executive Order 14351 in September 2025 and opened for applications in December, has produced only one confirmed approval through mid-2026 despite hundreds of submissions. Commerce Department and DHS data show roughly 338 applications and 165 processing fees paid as of late spring, with persistent delays in adjudication rules, national security vetting, and visa availability caps. Ongoing federal litigation challenging the executive authority to create an expedited pay-to-play pathway under existing EB-1 and EB-2 categories has added procedural uncertainty. These factors have kept actual issuances far below early projections, sustaining the market's low-volume pricing for the remainder of the calendar year.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$293,223Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 bracket for finalized Trump Gold Card approvals in 2026 because the program, established by Executive Order 14351 in September 2025 and opened for applications in December, has produced only one confirmed approval through mid-2026 despite hundreds of submissions. Commerce Department and DHS data show roughly 338 applications and 165 processing fees paid as of late spring, with persistent delays in adjudication rules, national security vetting, and visa availability caps. Ongoing federal litigation challenging the executive authority to create an expedited pay-to-play pathway under existing EB-1 and EB-2 categories has added procedural uncertainty. These factors have kept actual issuances far below early projections, sustaining the market's low-volume pricing for the remainder of the calendar year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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