Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, amid escalating conflict, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba as successor in early March via a process outlined in the constitution. This dynastic transition occurred under wartime conditions with a temporary leadership council in place initially, drawing scrutiny over Mojtaba's limited public profile, reported injuries, and questions about his managerial capacity from some clerics. Ongoing military pressures, economic strains, and internal debates about regime continuity versus further shifts continue to shape assessments of additional leadership changes in the near term.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$23,497,118 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
August 15
<1%
August 22
1%
August 31
2%
September 30
6%
October 31
10%
November 30
12%
31 grudnia
18%
June 30, 2027
27%
$23,497,118 Wol.
August 15
$60,914 Wol.
<1%
August 22
$33,055 Wol.
1%
August 31
$1,157,273 Wol.
2%
September 30
$440,909 Wol.
6%
October 31
$8,886 Wol.
10%
November 30
$10,763 Wol.
12%
31 grudnia
$4,001,556 Wol.
18%
June 30, 2027
$237,385 Wol.
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, amid escalating conflict, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba as successor in early March via a process outlined in the constitution. This dynastic transition occurred under wartime conditions with a temporary leadership council in place initially, drawing scrutiny over Mojtaba's limited public profile, reported injuries, and questions about his managerial capacity from some clerics. Ongoing military pressures, economic strains, and internal debates about regime continuity versus further shifts continue to shape assessments of additional leadership changes in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
Wolumen
$23,497,118Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, amid escalating conflict, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba as successor in early March via a process outlined in the constitution. This dynastic transition occurred under wartime conditions with a temporary leadership council in place initially, drawing scrutiny over Mojtaba's limited public profile, reported injuries, and questions about his managerial capacity from some clerics. Ongoing military pressures, economic strains, and internal debates about regime continuity versus further shifts continue to shape assessments of additional leadership changes in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$23,497,118Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, amid escalating conflict, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba as successor in early March via a process outlined in the constitution. This dynastic transition occurred under wartime conditions with a temporary leadership council in place initially, drawing scrutiny over Mojtaba's limited public profile, reported injuries, and questions about his managerial capacity from some clerics. Ongoing military pressures, economic strains, and internal debates about regime continuity versus further shifts continue to shape assessments of additional leadership changes in the near term.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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