The re-formation of the Joint List by Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad in August 2026, without Ra'am running separately, has stabilized projections for the alliance ahead of the October 27 election. Recent September polls from multiple firms consistently place the list at 6-8 seats, reflecting consolidated Arab voter support but limited overall gains amid competition from other lists and the 3.25% threshold. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 6-7 seats as the most probable outcome, while higher ranges remain possible if turnout or bloc dynamics shift in the final weeks. The broader contest, centered on Netanyahu's coalition performance and opposition efforts to reach 61 seats, indirectly influences Arab party totals through turnout and strategic voting patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano6-7 56%
8-9 26%
10-11 24%
<6 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<6
17%
6-7
56%
8-9
26%
10-11
24%
12+
6%
6-7 56%
8-9 26%
10-11 24%
<6 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$19 Wol.
17%
6-7
$10 Wol.
56%
8-9
$0 Wol.
26%
10-11
$0 Wol.
24%
12+
$71 Wol.
6%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).The re-formation of the Joint List by Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad in August 2026, without Ra'am running separately, has stabilized projections for the alliance ahead of the October 27 election. Recent September polls from multiple firms consistently place the list at 6-8 seats, reflecting consolidated Arab voter support but limited overall gains amid competition from other lists and the 3.25% threshold. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 6-7 seats as the most probable outcome, while higher ranges remain possible if turnout or bloc dynamics shift in the final weeks. The broader contest, centered on Netanyahu's coalition performance and opposition efforts to reach 61 seats, indirectly influences Arab party totals through turnout and strategic voting patterns.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$100Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).The re-formation of the Joint List by Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad in August 2026, without Ra'am running separately, has stabilized projections for the alliance ahead of the October 27 election. Recent September polls from multiple firms consistently place the list at 6-8 seats, reflecting consolidated Arab voter support but limited overall gains amid competition from other lists and the 3.25% threshold. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 6-7 seats as the most probable outcome, while higher ranges remain possible if turnout or bloc dynamics shift in the final weeks. The broader contest, centered on Netanyahu's coalition performance and opposition efforts to reach 61 seats, indirectly influences Arab party totals through turnout and strategic voting patterns.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Wolumen
$100Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The re-formation of the Joint List by Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad in August 2026, without Ra'am running separately, has stabilized projections for the alliance ahead of the October 27 election. Recent September polls from multiple firms consistently place the list at 6-8 seats, reflecting consolidated Arab voter support but limited overall gains amid competition from other lists and the 3.25% threshold. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 6-7 seats as the most probable outcome, while higher ranges remain possible if turnout or bloc dynamics shift in the final weeks. The broader contest, centered on Netanyahu's coalition performance and opposition efforts to reach 61 seats, indirectly influences Arab party totals through turnout and strategic voting patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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