Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit between 6 and 9 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting stable support among right-wing voters despite a fragmented field where Likud, Yashar, and Together compete for the largest share. Surveys from Kantar, Midgam, and others in mid-September show the party at roughly 7 seats on average, with minor fluctuations tied to turnout among religious and nationalist blocs. A September 14 petition by The Democrats to disqualify the list on incitement grounds introduces uncertainty that could consolidate or suppress its vote if resolved before election day. Traders price 6-9 seats highest because these outcomes align with current seat projections and the party's independent positioning outside broader right-wing alliances.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano6-7 38%
8-9 26%
4-5 16%
10+ 14%
<4
2%
4-5
16%
6-7
38%
8-9
26%
10+
17%
6-7 38%
8-9 26%
4-5 16%
10+ 14%
<4
2%
4-5
16%
6-7
38%
8-9
26%
10+
17%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit between 6 and 9 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting stable support among right-wing voters despite a fragmented field where Likud, Yashar, and Together compete for the largest share. Surveys from Kantar, Midgam, and others in mid-September show the party at roughly 7 seats on average, with minor fluctuations tied to turnout among religious and nationalist blocs. A September 14 petition by The Democrats to disqualify the list on incitement grounds introduces uncertainty that could consolidate or suppress its vote if resolved before election day. Traders price 6-9 seats highest because these outcomes align with current seat projections and the party's independent positioning outside broader right-wing alliances.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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