Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election shows Ra'am consistently projected to win 4–6 seats, with recent averages near 5 amid a broader deadlock where neither major bloc reaches a Knesset majority. Ra'am is running independently after declining a full merger with the Joint List, though the two Arab factions signed a surplus-vote agreement to minimize wasted ballots. Inclusion of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz on Ra'am's slate and the party's shift toward a more civic platform have been cited as potential factors in seat projections, while attempts to disqualify Arab lists face high legal hurdles. Trader consensus around 4–6 seats reflects stable polling ranges and uncertainty over Arab voter turnout and coalition arithmetic in a fragmented field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano6 33.1%
4 28%
5 26%
7 10.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<4
9%
4
28%
5
26%
6
33%
7
10%
8+
4%
6 33.1%
4 28%
5 26%
7 10.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<4
$1,108 Wol.
9%
4
$1,807 Wol.
28%
5
$1,271 Wol.
26%
6
$1,526 Wol.
33%
7
$1,111 Wol.
10%
8+
$895 Wol.
4%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election shows Ra'am consistently projected to win 4–6 seats, with recent averages near 5 amid a broader deadlock where neither major bloc reaches a Knesset majority. Ra'am is running independently after declining a full merger with the Joint List, though the two Arab factions signed a surplus-vote agreement to minimize wasted ballots. Inclusion of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz on Ra'am's slate and the party's shift toward a more civic platform have been cited as potential factors in seat projections, while attempts to disqualify Arab lists face high legal hurdles. Trader consensus around 4–6 seats reflects stable polling ranges and uncertainty over Arab voter turnout and coalition arithmetic in a fragmented field.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,718Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election shows Ra'am consistently projected to win 4–6 seats, with recent averages near 5 amid a broader deadlock where neither major bloc reaches a Knesset majority. Ra'am is running independently after declining a full merger with the Joint List, though the two Arab factions signed a surplus-vote agreement to minimize wasted ballots. Inclusion of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz on Ra'am's slate and the party's shift toward a more civic platform have been cited as potential factors in seat projections, while attempts to disqualify Arab lists face high legal hurdles. Trader consensus around 4–6 seats reflects stable polling ranges and uncertainty over Arab voter turnout and coalition arithmetic in a fragmented field.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Wolumen
$7,718Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election shows Ra'am consistently projected to win 4–6 seats, with recent averages near 5 amid a broader deadlock where neither major bloc reaches a Knesset majority. Ra'am is running independently after declining a full merger with the Joint List, though the two Arab factions signed a surplus-vote agreement to minimize wasted ballots. Inclusion of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz on Ra'am's slate and the party's shift toward a more civic platform have been cited as potential factors in seat projections, while attempts to disqualify Arab lists face high legal hurdles. Trader consensus around 4–6 seats reflects stable polling ranges and uncertainty over Arab voter turnout and coalition arithmetic in a fragmented field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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