Recent polls for Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–8 seats, with limited movement across surveys from late August and early September. Trader positioning remains tight because the Haredi conscription standoff continues to shape turnout and coalition arithmetic: UTJ’s departure from the prior government over draft exemptions has kept its core support stable while exposing it to broader voter fatigue on military service amid security pressures. Internal negotiations between Degel HaTorah and Agudat Yisrael over the slate, alongside the emergence of splinter Haredi lists, introduce modest downside risk to seat totals. At the same time, strong communal mobilization and the party’s role in post-election bargaining keep the 9–10 seat band plausible if turnout exceeds expectations or right-wing bloc dynamics shift. These cross-currents explain why no single outcome dominates market pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIsrael Election: UTJ # of seats?
Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?
7-8 42%
<7 42%
9-10 39%
11+ 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<7
42%
7-8
42%
9-10
39%
11+
25%
7-8 42%
<7 42%
9-10 39%
11+ 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<7
$0 Wol.
42%
7-8
$0 Wol.
42%
9-10
$0 Wol.
39%
11+
$0 Wol.
25%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–8 seats, with limited movement across surveys from late August and early September. Trader positioning remains tight because the Haredi conscription standoff continues to shape turnout and coalition arithmetic: UTJ’s departure from the prior government over draft exemptions has kept its core support stable while exposing it to broader voter fatigue on military service amid security pressures. Internal negotiations between Degel HaTorah and Agudat Yisrael over the slate, alongside the emergence of splinter Haredi lists, introduce modest downside risk to seat totals. At the same time, strong communal mobilization and the party’s role in post-election bargaining keep the 9–10 seat band plausible if turnout exceeds expectations or right-wing bloc dynamics shift. These cross-currents explain why no single outcome dominates market pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–8 seats, with limited movement across surveys from late August and early September. Trader positioning remains tight because the Haredi conscription standoff continues to shape turnout and coalition arithmetic: UTJ’s departure from the prior government over draft exemptions has kept its core support stable while exposing it to broader voter fatigue on military service amid security pressures. Internal negotiations between Degel HaTorah and Agudat Yisrael over the slate, alongside the emergence of splinter Haredi lists, introduce modest downside risk to seat totals. At the same time, strong communal mobilization and the party’s role in post-election bargaining keep the 9–10 seat band plausible if turnout exceeds expectations or right-wing bloc dynamics shift. These cross-currents explain why no single outcome dominates market pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–8 seats, with limited movement across surveys from late August and early September. Trader positioning remains tight because the Haredi conscription standoff continues to shape turnout and coalition arithmetic: UTJ’s departure from the prior government over draft exemptions has kept its core support stable while exposing it to broader voter fatigue on military service amid security pressures. Internal negotiations between Degel HaTorah and Agudat Yisrael over the slate, alongside the emergence of splinter Haredi lists, introduce modest downside risk to seat totals. At the same time, strong communal mobilization and the party’s role in post-election bargaining keep the 9–10 seat band plausible if turnout exceeds expectations or right-wing bloc dynamics shift. These cross-currents explain why no single outcome dominates market pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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