Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has polled in the low-to-mid 20s across recent September surveys ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, placing it near or ahead of Likud in most averages. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the Netanyahu-led coalition over security management and governance has boosted Eisenkot's profile, while competition from Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s Together list and surplus-vote pacts with parties like The Democrats help anchor projections in the 22-25 seat range. Recent polling averages around 22-24 seats, with some variation tied to turnout and small-party thresholds, align with the market's heaviest weighting on 24-25 and 22-23 outcomes as the most probable results under current trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano24-25 36%
22-23 24%
26-27 16%
20-21 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<20
9%
20-21
11%
22-23
41%
24-25
41%
26-27
16%
28-29
5%
30+
6%
24-25 36%
22-23 24%
26-27 16%
20-21 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<20
$249 Wol.
9%
20-21
$459 Wol.
11%
22-23
$819 Wol.
41%
24-25
$875 Wol.
41%
26-27
$715 Wol.
16%
28-29
$318 Wol.
5%
30+
$5,813 Wol.
6%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has polled in the low-to-mid 20s across recent September surveys ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, placing it near or ahead of Likud in most averages. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the Netanyahu-led coalition over security management and governance has boosted Eisenkot's profile, while competition from Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s Together list and surplus-vote pacts with parties like The Democrats help anchor projections in the 22-25 seat range. Recent polling averages around 22-24 seats, with some variation tied to turnout and small-party thresholds, align with the market's heaviest weighting on 24-25 and 22-23 outcomes as the most probable results under current trends.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,249Data zakończenia
Nov 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has polled in the low-to-mid 20s across recent September surveys ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, placing it near or ahead of Likud in most averages. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the Netanyahu-led coalition over security management and governance has boosted Eisenkot's profile, while competition from Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s Together list and surplus-vote pacts with parties like The Democrats help anchor projections in the 22-25 seat range. Recent polling averages around 22-24 seats, with some variation tied to turnout and small-party thresholds, align with the market's heaviest weighting on 24-25 and 22-23 outcomes as the most probable results under current trends.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Wolumen
$9,249Data zakończenia
Nov 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has polled in the low-to-mid 20s across recent September surveys ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, placing it near or ahead of Likud in most averages. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the Netanyahu-led coalition over security management and governance has boosted Eisenkot's profile, while competition from Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s Together list and surplus-vote pacts with parties like The Democrats help anchor projections in the 22-25 seat range. Recent polling averages around 22-24 seats, with some variation tied to turnout and small-party thresholds, align with the market's heaviest weighting on 24-25 and 22-23 outcomes as the most probable results under current trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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