Skip to main content
icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 71%

Morgan Stanley 7%

UBS 4.9%

Deutsche Bank 3.9%

Polymarket

$21,601 Wol.

Goldman Sachs 71%

Morgan Stanley 7%

UBS 4.9%

Deutsche Bank 3.9%

Polymarket

$21,601 Wol.

icon for Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs

$2,625 Wol.

71%

icon for Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley

$2,513 Wol.

7%

icon for UBS

UBS

$2,059 Wol.

5%

icon for Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank

$7,131 Wol.

4%

icon for Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo

$1,665 Wol.

3%

icon for JPMorgan

JPMorgan

$1,852 Wol.

3%

icon for Barclays

Barclays

$1,458 Wol.

2%

icon for Bank of America

Bank of America

$1,016 Wol.

1%

icon for Citigroup

Citigroup

$1,282 Wol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% market-implied probability as lead-left underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO due to its prominent role helping prepare the company’s confidential S-1 filing submitted in early June 2026, alongside Morgan Stanley. OpenAI is positioning for a potential late-2026 or 2027 debut at an $850 billion-plus valuation, mirroring Goldman’s recent lead-left assignment on SpaceX’s filing. Traders see Goldman’s track record with large AI-adjacent tech IPOs, deep institutional relationships, and close work with Sam Altman’s team as decisive advantages in the “lead left” contest. Morgan Stanley remains the clear secondary contender at 7%, while other banks trail on limited reported involvement. Key near-term catalysts include any public disclosure of the final underwriting syndicate or updates on listing timing.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$21,601
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027
Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% market-implied probability as lead-left underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO due to its prominent role helping prepare the company’s confidential S-1 filing submitted in early June 2026, alongside Morgan Stanley. OpenAI is positioning for a potential late-2026 or 2027 debut at an $850 billion-plus valuation, mirroring Goldman’s recent lead-left assignment on SpaceX’s filing. Traders see Goldman’s track record with large AI-adjacent tech IPOs, deep institutional relationships, and close work with Sam Altman’s team as decisive advantages in the “lead left” contest. Morgan Stanley remains the clear secondary contender at 7%, while other banks trail on limited reported involvement. Key near-term catalysts include any public disclosure of the final underwriting syndicate or updates on listing timing.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$21,601
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027
Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 9 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Goldman Sachs" z 71%, za nim "Morgan Stanley" z 7%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 71¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 71% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" wygenerował $21.6K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 21, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?", przeglądaj 9 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" jest "Goldman Sachs" z 71%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 71% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Morgan Stanley" z 7%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.