Current forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Cape Town on September 2 under stable spring high-pressure conditions with southerly flow. This keeps overnight radiative cooling moderate, as dew points hover around 9–10°C and light winds limit mixing or advection of colder air. Trader-implied odds cluster near 50% across 6–16°C thresholds because small differences in cloud cover, humidity, or localized Table Mountain effects can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows typical early-September minima around 11°C, with rare excursions below 9°C absent strong cold fronts. New model runs and surface observations overnight will clarify any adjustments to these variables before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 2?
6°C or below 100%
8°C 100%
9°C 100%
10°C 100%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
6°C or below
100%
7°C
98%
8°C
100%
9°C
100%
10°C
100%
11°C
100%
12°C
95%
13°C
39%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C or higher
98%
6°C or below 100%
8°C 100%
9°C 100%
10°C 100%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
6°C or below
$5 Wol.
100%
7°C
$0 Wol.
98%
8°C
$0 Wol.
100%
9°C
$0 Wol.
100%
10°C
$0 Wol.
100%
11°C
$0 Wol.
100%
12°C
$0 Wol.
95%
13°C
$15 Wol.
39%
14°C
$5 Wol.
100%
15°C
$5 Wol.
100%
16°C or higher
$5 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Cape Town on September 2 under stable spring high-pressure conditions with southerly flow. This keeps overnight radiative cooling moderate, as dew points hover around 9–10°C and light winds limit mixing or advection of colder air. Trader-implied odds cluster near 50% across 6–16°C thresholds because small differences in cloud cover, humidity, or localized Table Mountain effects can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows typical early-September minima around 11°C, with rare excursions below 9°C absent strong cold fronts. New model runs and surface observations overnight will clarify any adjustments to these variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$35Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Cape Town on September 2 under stable spring high-pressure conditions with southerly flow. This keeps overnight radiative cooling moderate, as dew points hover around 9–10°C and light winds limit mixing or advection of colder air. Trader-implied odds cluster near 50% across 6–16°C thresholds because small differences in cloud cover, humidity, or localized Table Mountain effects can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows typical early-September minima around 11°C, with rare excursions below 9°C absent strong cold fronts. New model runs and surface observations overnight will clarify any adjustments to these variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$35Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Cape Town on September 2 under stable spring high-pressure conditions with southerly flow. This keeps overnight radiative cooling moderate, as dew points hover around 9–10°C and light winds limit mixing or advection of colder air. Trader-implied odds cluster near 50% across 6–16°C thresholds because small differences in cloud cover, humidity, or localized Table Mountain effects can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows typical early-September minima around 11°C, with rare excursions below 9°C absent strong cold fronts. New model runs and surface observations overnight will clarify any adjustments to these variables before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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