**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 2, 2026, centered around 23–25°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 57.5% implied probability, 23°C and 25°C near 49.5%).** Early September marks the transition from peak summer monsoon conditions in this subtropical region, where average historical lows hover near 25°C. Recent model consensus shows northerly or northwesterly flow moderating overnight temperatures, combined with variable cloud cover and low precipitation chances that limit strong radiative cooling. Sources such as LUFT TIME, Yr.no, and WeatherBug converge on lows of 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F), with some runs indicating slightly clearer skies that could allow brief dips toward 23°C while urban heat retention and humidity support values near 25°C. Traders appear to weight these ensemble forecasts heavily, recognizing that small differences in overnight cloud thickness, wind speed, or the exact timing of any light showers can shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C. Historical data confirm that extremes below 22°C or above 27°C are rare this early in the month, explaining the steep drop in probabilities outside the 23–25°C cluster. With resolution imminent, updated model runs overnight will likely tighten the range further.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
23°C 99%
25°C 99%
28°C 97%
26°C 95%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
55%
22°C
20%
23°C
99%
24°C
57%
25°C
99%
26°C
95%
27°C
86%
28°C
97%
29°C or higher
38%
23°C 99%
25°C 99%
28°C 97%
26°C 95%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
19°C or below
$5 Wol.
1%
20°C
$63 Wol.
6%
21°C
$63 Wol.
55%
22°C
$0 Wol.
20%
23°C
$0 Wol.
99%
24°C
$0 Wol.
57%
25°C
$0 Wol.
99%
26°C
$0 Wol.
95%
27°C
$0 Wol.
86%
28°C
$5 Wol.
97%
29°C or higher
$5 Wol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 2, 2026, centered around 23–25°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 57.5% implied probability, 23°C and 25°C near 49.5%).**
Early September marks the transition from peak summer monsoon conditions in this subtropical region, where average historical lows hover near 25°C. Recent model consensus shows northerly or northwesterly flow moderating overnight temperatures, combined with variable cloud cover and low precipitation chances that limit strong radiative cooling. Sources such as LUFT TIME, Yr.no, and WeatherBug converge on lows of 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F), with some runs indicating slightly clearer skies that could allow brief dips toward 23°C while urban heat retention and humidity support values near 25°C.
Traders appear to weight these ensemble forecasts heavily, recognizing that small differences in overnight cloud thickness, wind speed, or the exact timing of any light showers can shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C. Historical data confirm that extremes below 22°C or above 27°C are rare this early in the month, explaining the steep drop in probabilities outside the 23–25°C cluster. With resolution imminent, updated model runs overnight will likely tighten the range further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$141Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 2, 2026, centered around 23–25°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 57.5% implied probability, 23°C and 25°C near 49.5%).**
Early September marks the transition from peak summer monsoon conditions in this subtropical region, where average historical lows hover near 25°C. Recent model consensus shows northerly or northwesterly flow moderating overnight temperatures, combined with variable cloud cover and low precipitation chances that limit strong radiative cooling. Sources such as LUFT TIME, Yr.no, and WeatherBug converge on lows of 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F), with some runs indicating slightly clearer skies that could allow brief dips toward 23°C while urban heat retention and humidity support values near 25°C.
Traders appear to weight these ensemble forecasts heavily, recognizing that small differences in overnight cloud thickness, wind speed, or the exact timing of any light showers can shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C. Historical data confirm that extremes below 22°C or above 27°C are rare this early in the month, explaining the steep drop in probabilities outside the 23–25°C cluster. With resolution imminent, updated model runs overnight will likely tighten the range further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$141Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 2, 2026, centered around 23–25°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 57.5% implied probability, 23°C and 25°C near 49.5%).** Early September marks the transition from peak summer monsoon conditions in this subtropical region, where average historical lows hover near 25°C. Recent model consensus shows northerly or northwesterly flow moderating overnight temperatures, combined with variable cloud cover and low precipitation chances that limit strong radiative cooling. Sources such as LUFT TIME, Yr.no, and WeatherBug converge on lows of 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F), with some runs indicating slightly clearer skies that could allow brief dips toward 23°C while urban heat retention and humidity support values near 25°C. Traders appear to weight these ensemble forecasts heavily, recognizing that small differences in overnight cloud thickness, wind speed, or the exact timing of any light showers can shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C. Historical data confirm that extremes below 22°C or above 27°C are rare this early in the month, explaining the steep drop in probabilities outside the 23–25°C cluster. With resolution imminent, updated model runs overnight will likely tighten the range further.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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