Persistent humidity and overnight cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms are anchoring trader expectations for Houston's minimum temperature on September 5 near the upper 70s, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 74–77 °F. Light easterly winds and high dew points near 75 °F limit radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies, while model consensus from NOAA and local forecasts projects an overnight low of 78 °F amid 50 % storm chances. Subtle differences in timing of clearing skies or wind shifts could push readings a degree or two lower toward the 74–75 °F bin, explaining the near-even probabilities across those leading outcomes versus lower odds for 78–79 °F. Updated National Weather Service guidance and hourly observations through midnight remain the key near-term catalysts for any final adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Houston on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 5?
76-77°F 48%
74-75°F 45%
69°F or below 18%
72-73°F 4%
$583 Wol.
$583 Wol.
Sep 5, 2026
69°F or below
18%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
45%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 48%
74-75°F 45%
69°F or below 18%
72-73°F 4%
$583 Wol.
$583 Wol.
Sep 5, 2026
69°F or below
$32 Wol.
18%
70-71°F
$32 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$27 Wol.
4%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
45%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
48%
78-79°F
$9 Wol.
43%
80-81°F
$233 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$109 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$47 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$47 Wol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$47 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent humidity and overnight cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms are anchoring trader expectations for Houston's minimum temperature on September 5 near the upper 70s, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 74–77 °F. Light easterly winds and high dew points near 75 °F limit radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies, while model consensus from NOAA and local forecasts projects an overnight low of 78 °F amid 50 % storm chances. Subtle differences in timing of clearing skies or wind shifts could push readings a degree or two lower toward the 74–75 °F bin, explaining the near-even probabilities across those leading outcomes versus lower odds for 78–79 °F. Updated National Weather Service guidance and hourly observations through midnight remain the key near-term catalysts for any final adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$583Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent humidity and overnight cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms are anchoring trader expectations for Houston's minimum temperature on September 5 near the upper 70s, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 74–77 °F. Light easterly winds and high dew points near 75 °F limit radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies, while model consensus from NOAA and local forecasts projects an overnight low of 78 °F amid 50 % storm chances. Subtle differences in timing of clearing skies or wind shifts could push readings a degree or two lower toward the 74–75 °F bin, explaining the near-even probabilities across those leading outcomes versus lower odds for 78–79 °F. Updated National Weather Service guidance and hourly observations through midnight remain the key near-term catalysts for any final adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$583Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent humidity and overnight cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms are anchoring trader expectations for Houston's minimum temperature on September 5 near the upper 70s, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 74–77 °F. Light easterly winds and high dew points near 75 °F limit radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies, while model consensus from NOAA and local forecasts projects an overnight low of 78 °F amid 50 % storm chances. Subtle differences in timing of clearing skies or wind shifts could push readings a degree or two lower toward the 74–75 °F bin, explaining the near-even probabilities across those leading outcomes versus lower odds for 78–79 °F. Updated National Weather Service guidance and hourly observations through midnight remain the key near-term catalysts for any final adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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