Official National Weather Service and AccuWeather ensemble guidance anchored trader consensus around an 82–83°F low for Miami on August 16 by projecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions: a persistent ridge sustaining light southeasterly flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. These factors align with climatological baselines where Miami’s August overnight lows average 78°F but often hold in the low 80s absent significant synoptic disruption. The 99% market-implied probability reflects this model agreement and the absence of any observed shift in steering patterns or moisture profiles through the evening hours. An unexpected increase in convective activity, stronger onshore breeze, or revised station observations could still nudge the final reading into the 80–81°F bin, though such developments remained unlikely based on the latest model runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 16?
82-83°F 99.0%
80-81°F 13.6%
78-79°F <1%
73°F or below <1%
$8,867 Wol.
$8,867 Wol.
Aug 16, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
99%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 99.0%
80-81°F 13.6%
78-79°F <1%
73°F or below <1%
$8,867 Wol.
$8,867 Wol.
Aug 16, 2026
73°F or below
$281 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$357 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,134 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$905 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$970 Wol.
14%
82-83°F
$1,127 Wol.
99%
84-85°F
$2,105 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$716 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$701 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$291 Wol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$281 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and AccuWeather ensemble guidance anchored trader consensus around an 82–83°F low for Miami on August 16 by projecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions: a persistent ridge sustaining light southeasterly flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. These factors align with climatological baselines where Miami’s August overnight lows average 78°F but often hold in the low 80s absent significant synoptic disruption. The 99% market-implied probability reflects this model agreement and the absence of any observed shift in steering patterns or moisture profiles through the evening hours. An unexpected increase in convective activity, stronger onshore breeze, or revised station observations could still nudge the final reading into the 80–81°F bin, though such developments remained unlikely based on the latest model runs.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,867Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and AccuWeather ensemble guidance anchored trader consensus around an 82–83°F low for Miami on August 16 by projecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions: a persistent ridge sustaining light southeasterly flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. These factors align with climatological baselines where Miami’s August overnight lows average 78°F but often hold in the low 80s absent significant synoptic disruption. The 99% market-implied probability reflects this model agreement and the absence of any observed shift in steering patterns or moisture profiles through the evening hours. An unexpected increase in convective activity, stronger onshore breeze, or revised station observations could still nudge the final reading into the 80–81°F bin, though such developments remained unlikely based on the latest model runs.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,867Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and AccuWeather ensemble guidance anchored trader consensus around an 82–83°F low for Miami on August 16 by projecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions: a persistent ridge sustaining light southeasterly flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. These factors align with climatological baselines where Miami’s August overnight lows average 78°F but often hold in the low 80s absent significant synoptic disruption. The 99% market-implied probability reflects this model agreement and the absence of any observed shift in steering patterns or moisture profiles through the evening hours. An unexpected increase in convective activity, stronger onshore breeze, or revised station observations could still nudge the final reading into the 80–81°F bin, though such developments remained unlikely based on the latest model runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania