Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a Moscow minimum around 14–16°C on September 2, driven by overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds of 4–10 m/s, and dew points near 13–14°C that limit further temperature drops. Recent model runs show a mild air mass with daytime highs near 20–22°C transitioning to clearer intervals after possible light showers, keeping the overnight low above the September climatological average of ~10.5°C. Slight differences among forecasts arise from variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating tight market-implied odds clustered from 13–16°C while probabilities fall sharply below 12°C or above 20°C. Updated runs closer to resolution will refine the exact threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 2?
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
15°C 100%
17°C 100%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
11°C or below
12%
12°C
92%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C
-
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
100%
20°C
-
21°C or higher
8%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
15°C 100%
17°C 100%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
11°C or below
$68 Wol.
12%
12°C
$6 Wol.
92%
13°C
$0 Wol.
100%
14°C
$0 Wol.
100%
15°C
$0 Wol.
100%
16°C
$5 Wol.
-
17°C
$0 Wol.
100%
18°C
$0 Wol.
100%
19°C
$5 Wol.
100%
20°C
$5 Wol.
-
21°C or higher
$5 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a Moscow minimum around 14–16°C on September 2, driven by overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds of 4–10 m/s, and dew points near 13–14°C that limit further temperature drops. Recent model runs show a mild air mass with daytime highs near 20–22°C transitioning to clearer intervals after possible light showers, keeping the overnight low above the September climatological average of ~10.5°C. Slight differences among forecasts arise from variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating tight market-implied odds clustered from 13–16°C while probabilities fall sharply below 12°C or above 20°C. Updated runs closer to resolution will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$94Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a Moscow minimum around 14–16°C on September 2, driven by overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds of 4–10 m/s, and dew points near 13–14°C that limit further temperature drops. Recent model runs show a mild air mass with daytime highs near 20–22°C transitioning to clearer intervals after possible light showers, keeping the overnight low above the September climatological average of ~10.5°C. Slight differences among forecasts arise from variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating tight market-implied odds clustered from 13–16°C while probabilities fall sharply below 12°C or above 20°C. Updated runs closer to resolution will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$94Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a Moscow minimum around 14–16°C on September 2, driven by overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds of 4–10 m/s, and dew points near 13–14°C that limit further temperature drops. Recent model runs show a mild air mass with daytime highs near 20–22°C transitioning to clearer intervals after possible light showers, keeping the overnight low above the September climatological average of ~10.5°C. Slight differences among forecasts arise from variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating tight market-implied odds clustered from 13–16°C while probabilities fall sharply below 12°C or above 20°C. Updated runs closer to resolution will refine the exact threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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