Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast pins Seoul's morning low temperature—the minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time—at 15°C for May 15, 2026, under persistent clear skies and light southerly winds from a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with ensemble model consensus from global forecasts like ECMWF and GFS, reflecting mild spring conditions with no incoming cold fronts or cloud cover to enhance nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical mid-May lows average 13–16°C at Seoul's official station, but urban heat island effects and warmer-than-average 2026 spring trends limit drops below 15°C, driving trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability. Gimpo and Incheon airport outlooks corroborate 15–17°C minima; final KMA observations will resolve the market later today.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
15°C 99%
14°C 3.5%
13°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
$19,302 Wol.
$19,302 Wol.
May 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
87%
15°C 99%
14°C 3.5%
13°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
$19,302 Wol.
$19,302 Wol.
May 15, 2026
11°C or below
$2,206 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$1,231 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$1,770 Wol.
1%
14°C
$998 Wol.
4%
15°C
$787 Wol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast pins Seoul's morning low temperature—the minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time—at 15°C for May 15, 2026, under persistent clear skies and light southerly winds from a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with ensemble model consensus from global forecasts like ECMWF and GFS, reflecting mild spring conditions with no incoming cold fronts or cloud cover to enhance nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical mid-May lows average 13–16°C at Seoul's official station, but urban heat island effects and warmer-than-average 2026 spring trends limit drops below 15°C, driving trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability. Gimpo and Incheon airport outlooks corroborate 15–17°C minima; final KMA observations will resolve the market later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$19,302Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast pins Seoul's morning low temperature—the minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time—at 15°C for May 15, 2026, under persistent clear skies and light southerly winds from a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with ensemble model consensus from global forecasts like ECMWF and GFS, reflecting mild spring conditions with no incoming cold fronts or cloud cover to enhance nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical mid-May lows average 13–16°C at Seoul's official station, but urban heat island effects and warmer-than-average 2026 spring trends limit drops below 15°C, driving trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability. Gimpo and Incheon airport outlooks corroborate 15–17°C minima; final KMA observations will resolve the market later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$19,302Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast pins Seoul's morning low temperature—the minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time—at 15°C for May 15, 2026, under persistent clear skies and light southerly winds from a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with ensemble model consensus from global forecasts like ECMWF and GFS, reflecting mild spring conditions with no incoming cold fronts or cloud cover to enhance nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical mid-May lows average 13–16°C at Seoul's official station, but urban heat island effects and warmer-than-average 2026 spring trends limit drops below 15°C, driving trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability. Gimpo and Incheon airport outlooks corroborate 15–17°C minima; final KMA observations will resolve the market later today.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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