Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 24°C in Shanghai on June 19, driven by persistent cloud cover and rainfall during the early mei-yu period, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with current extended forecasts showing overnight lows of 24–25°C amid high humidity and light winds. The spread in market-implied odds across 19–29°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, as heavier showers could enhance cooling toward 22°C or below while clearer intervals might allow readings near 26°C. Historical June climatology places average lows around 20–22°C, but this year's warmer baseline and forecast moisture favor the central probabilities traders currently assign. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 19?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 19?
24°C 33%
25°C 21%
23°C 16%
22°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 19, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
12%
23°C
16%
24°C
33%
25°C
21%
26°C
12%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 33%
25°C 21%
23°C 16%
22°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 19, 2026
19°C or below
$47 Wol.
1%
20°C
$11 Wol.
3%
21°C
$0 Wol.
9%
22°C
$0 Wol.
12%
23°C
$50 Wol.
16%
24°C
$0 Wol.
33%
25°C
$0 Wol.
21%
26°C
$0 Wol.
12%
27°C
$21 Wol.
5%
28°C
$106 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$37 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 24°C in Shanghai on June 19, driven by persistent cloud cover and rainfall during the early mei-yu period, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with current extended forecasts showing overnight lows of 24–25°C amid high humidity and light winds. The spread in market-implied odds across 19–29°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, as heavier showers could enhance cooling toward 22°C or below while clearer intervals might allow readings near 26°C. Historical June climatology places average lows around 20–22°C, but this year's warmer baseline and forecast moisture favor the central probabilities traders currently assign. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$252Data zakończenia
Jun 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 24°C in Shanghai on June 19, driven by persistent cloud cover and rainfall during the early mei-yu period, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with current extended forecasts showing overnight lows of 24–25°C amid high humidity and light winds. The spread in market-implied odds across 19–29°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, as heavier showers could enhance cooling toward 22°C or below while clearer intervals might allow readings near 26°C. Historical June climatology places average lows around 20–22°C, but this year's warmer baseline and forecast moisture favor the central probabilities traders currently assign. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$252Data zakończenia
Jun 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 24°C in Shanghai on June 19, driven by persistent cloud cover and rainfall during the early mei-yu period, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with current extended forecasts showing overnight lows of 24–25°C amid high humidity and light winds. The spread in market-implied odds across 19–29°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, as heavier showers could enhance cooling toward 22°C or below while clearer intervals might allow readings near 26°C. Historical June climatology places average lows around 20–22°C, but this year's warmer baseline and forecast moisture favor the central probabilities traders currently assign. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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